# Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold

> Viborg FF leads at 53%, runner-up 25% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 d ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/viborg-ff-vs-snderjyske-fodbold
Updated: 2026-05-08T00:05:42.034Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-08

## Headline

- Leader: Viborg FF at 53%
- Runner-up: Sønderjyske Fodbold at 25%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $604

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF | 53¢ | +2pp | $588 | polymarket | /markets/viborg-ff-vs-snderjyske-fodbold-viborg-ff-polymarket-0xc366be57acd9b2c1c1f58640d8bdf40551072e5f184c82b45f924c2cc62401bd |
| Sønderjyske Fodbold | 25¢ | −2pp | $15 | polymarket | /markets/viborg-ff-vs-snderjyske-fodbold-snderjyske-fodbold-polymarket-0xa26199501e264d85bf90159ad0132ea6096e0df11ae551a3821957730bc3e93c |
| Draw (Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold) | 23¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/viborg-ff-vs-snderjyske-fodbold-draw-viborg-ff-vs-polymarket-0xa273767c3db47b21013659028e529d2082b62f66109640a4458da023e960aa3e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Viborg FF | Sønderjyske Fodbold | Draw (Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | — | — | 32 |
| 2026-05-06 | — | 24 | 22 |
| 2026-05-07 | 53 | 25 | 23 |
| 2026-05-08 | 55 | 23 | — |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Draw (Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold) −10pp 32→22¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

Viborg FF is priced as a 53% favorite over Sønderjyske Fodbold in this match, meaning prediction market participants estimate Viborg has a slightly better than even-odds chance of winning. The pricing reflects Viborg's likely positioning in the Danish football league standings and historical head-to-head performance, though Sønderjyske remains a credible threat at 31% implied probability. The outcome will be determined by the match result on the scheduled date, with factors including team form, injury status, and home-field advantage all contributing to the current assessment. No material new information in the past 24 hours has shifted trading volume significantly, indicating relative stability in market expectations. The match itself represents the primary catalyst that will resolve this uncertainty, moving one contract to $1 and the other to $0.

### Key factors

- Viborg FF's current league position and recent win-loss record relative to Sønderjyske's standing in the Danish football hierarchy
- Injury or suspension status of key players for each team heading into the match
- Historical head-to-head results and goals-for/against differentials between the two clubs
- Home-field advantage location and both teams' performance records at their respective stadiums
- Sønderjyske's ability to generate scoring opportunities against Viborg's defensive setup

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/viborg-ff-vs-snderjyske-fodbold
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=viborg-ff-vs-snderjyske-fodbold

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
