# Vissel Kōbe vs. Cerezo Ōsaka

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vissel-k-vs-cerezo-saka
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:56.716Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $15

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $15 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd2a2424ae02003bbb337e656c3987b2b1d12ad9aad7fb9edb5868b6fa5a444ad |
| O/U 4.5 | 15¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x8f53ed6beec70830c11ea974cb923f308725be3fe2e6fffb4ef8f2e2940e5fd7 |
| Cerezo Ōsaka | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-cerezo-saka-polymarket-0x87c3405568fdeaf6f7e7e6b396212b4ce8637e3e57f51308effe50224a1b889a |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5) | 8¢ | +9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-san-polymarket-0x838893bd820ebabcc88ae0a15a2a0d3016c9fde3a49a4c2f41b6c6d2637af108 |
| Shimizu S-Pulse (-2.5) | 13¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-shimiz-polymarket-0xc33d1c5ce506ddb23d75e315a0dc7191503b35752a13331c1bb03b4e0f2e62ae |
| Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) | 12¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-cerezo-polymarket-0xbf161f60415e3e1fcbafa287b25cd8af8d21cc294931ae609a766e80193eec44 |
| O/U 1.5 | 77¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x699392956e8574b0068655f04c86340395da905db9a0a1c83691c96f140376a7 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5) | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-san-polymarket-0x5cd99b90108f0ff51cfc1b28106407e34736bce3166d090d5905499a2196877d |
| O/U 1.5 | 72¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xced5703e0a85d8a914960fee6f941ca5f6ad458021b46f79003d9132621e3f21 |
| O/U 2.5 | 45¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0x840caa5bd31d364838b0acbdbfded39a1aa1e0860ceb849b3b03cfcc4c856f30 |
| O/U 3.5 | 22¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xa5be96c0387119ddfc9de4d4b7a72ec69206d5fa61b3ce809e7cee8ae97f39c2 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-ou-polymarket-0xdfd081d9c02c28ff4161a98dc03be658f2c0bf40e507f8417a405fcd4a90ff31 |
| Both Teams to Score | 60¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-both-t-polymarket-0xfb2380378688704b47494565f0cefde372a42d15936b8d92a9350bfe9e8afa88 |
| Vissel Kōbe | 25¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-vissel-kbe-polymarket-0xdb1e98067fdfaf0fec85bc35a160fe2b145b404623edab084c40ec3cd9029016 |
| O/U 3.5 | 31¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x9ba5763b1bbf6ee6a9a955e7b7d579cb4ca2664bb4772744f035dd9fbea95369 |
| Vissel Kōbe (-2.5) | 11¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-vis-polymarket-0x0dd98db188e5654f0d81714fb96f292841ddf74c965b60074c689f3ffaceb64e |
| Draw (Shimizu S-Pulse vs. Cerezo Ōsaka) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-draw-shimizu-s-puls-polymarket-0xbd1972d70c4630591115085060040b342649031614502b0b4b4b219d13ddc96f |
| Shimizu S-Pulse | 38¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/shimizu-s-pulse-vs-cerezo-saka-shimizu-s-pulse-polymarket-0x434537039ebd1deb897d55cff5634d5625c6c29f7faef1a90cd41f64b602a9ae |
| Both Teams to Score | 56¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-more-markets-bot-polymarket-0x46afc095649ba6fa057372d661624c801f0bce711d6c745012488addeec17592 |
| Draw (Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs. Vissel Kōbe) | 28¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/sanfrecce-hiroshima-vs-vissel-kbe-draw-sanfrecce-h-polymarket-0x0324afcc79628d5cb7db530670ac87279e66e76dd8d559539e2054bcd63f007a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 35 |
| 2026-05-02 | 33 |
| 2026-05-03 | 38 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Vissel Kōbe (-2.5) +15pp 11→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5) +9pp 9→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) +3pp 28→31¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Vissel Kōbe −3pp 33→30¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/vissel-k-vs-cerezo-saka
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=vissel-k-vs-cerezo-saka

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.