# Wadi Degla SC vs. Ismaily SC

> Wadi Degla SC leads at 56%, runner-up 28% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wadi-degla-sc-vs-ismaily-sc
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:38.514Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-12

## Headline

- Leader: Wadi Degla SC at 56%
- Runner-up: Draw (Wadi Degla SC vs. Ismaily SC) at 28%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla SC | 56¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-ismaily-sc-wadi-degla-sc-polymarket-0x13326d7e00a555b52c50ce902f6dd377e15bea4293cc08fe2b7d166d45f58407 |
| Draw (Wadi Degla SC vs. Ismaily SC) | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-ismaily-sc-draw-wadi-degla-sc-vs-polymarket-0x3fd9a6d1e2e4d457c3f62ec69e19ab24a3de7f979de7fb4f9b31ff03a6e635d9 |
| Ismaily SC | 16¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-ismaily-sc-ismaily-sc-polymarket-0xacd680706b2175ca15e0ebe4183fbf2ca0c952ea3d9a4ba64c0d5ce0cdd32e93 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Wadi Degla SC | Draw (Wadi Degla SC vs. Ismaily SC) | Ismaily SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-07 | 43 | 32 | 33 |
| 2026-05-08 | 44 | 32 | 33 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This probability reflects the chance that Wadi Degla SC wins their upcoming match against Ismaily SC, currently priced at 42% compared to a 31% probability for a draw and 31% for an Ismaily victory. The market shows relatively low conviction overall, with all three outcomes clustered in a narrow range. Wadi Degla's slight edge likely reflects recent form, head-to-head record, or home advantage if applicable. The match outcome itself will resolve this uncertainty definitively. Key factors moving this probability would include team lineups, injury status of key players, recent performance streaks, and betting patterns as the match date approaches. The absence of trading volume in the past 24 hours suggests limited market activity or attention to this fixture currently.

### Key factors

- Wadi Degla SC holds only a 11-percentage-point advantage over Ismaily SC (42% vs 31%), indicating low market confidence and substantial uncertainty
- Draw probability equals Ismaily win probability at 31%, suggesting the market sees meaningful chance of either result or stalemate
- Zero 24-hour trading volume across all three contracts indicates minimal recent market activity and potentially illiquid pricing
- Home field advantage, recent team form, and head-to-head historical records would be primary drivers of any probability shifts before match day
- Player availability and tactical changes announced closer to kickoff could materially alter market assessments if significant roster changes occur

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wadi-degla-sc-vs-ismaily-sc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wadi-degla-sc-vs-ismaily-sc

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