# Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC

> Wadi Degla SC leads at 55%, runner-up 27% across 3 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 7 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T20:05:54.816Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-04

## Headline

- Leader: Wadi Degla SC at 55%
- Runner-up: Draw (Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) at 27%
- Outcomes: 3 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (3 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (3)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla SC | 55¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-wadi-degla-s-polymarket-0xa019396531e786ff6c4731682a3aac2bbc0cdc921098ef58ab6675abbccc9455 |
| Draw (Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) | 27¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-draw-wadi-de-polymarket-0x69134578bbb44b9f4c1d011f94e6c2986e4e2eaf59fd9cf2c025e522216753ca |
| Kahrabaa Ismailia FC | 17¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc-kahrabaa-ism-polymarket-0x3ba4f3bd13c0fb85caa2ea410593d9ff8b094bf2edeb05f47a1bb68ec169195a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Wadi Degla SC | Draw (Wadi Degla SC vs. Kahrabaa Ismailia FC) | Kahrabaa Ismailia FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | 57 | 26 | 22 |
| 2026-04-30 | 56 | 28 | 20 |
| 2026-05-01 | 55 | 28 | 18 |
| 2026-05-02 | 55 | 28 | 17 |
| 2026-05-03 | 56 | 27 | 17 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market reflects a 56% probability that Wadi Degla SC wins or draws against Kahrabaa Ismailia FC, with a 27% probability assigned to an outright Kahrabaa victory. The odds favor Wadi Degla, but the runner-up probability suggests material uncertainty about the outcome. Current prices across related markets—including spread and total-goals contracts—show low trading volume ($0 in 24-hour activity across all listed contracts), indicating limited market participation and potentially wide bid-ask spreads. The minimal liquidity may mean the 56% headline probability reflects the views of few traders rather than a consensus. Resolution will occur when the match is played and the final result is confirmed. Key drivers of movement would be injury reports, recent form data, or shifts in betting sentiment closer to kickoff.

### Key factors

- Trading volume across all related contracts is zero in the last 24 hours, suggesting sparse liquidity and potentially unreliable price discovery
- The 56% leader probability exceeds the 33% Polymarket average, indicating concentration among fewer traders rather than broad agreement
- Kahrabaa spread contracts (−2.5 and −1.5) are priced at 10¢ and 11¢ respectively, implying low market confidence in Kahrabaa covering such margins
- The Over/Under 3.5 contract at 25¢ suggests markets expect a low-scoring match on average
- Runner-up outcome at 27% indicates material probability mass on Kahrabaa outright victory, not just draw scenarios

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wadi-degla-sc-vs-kahrabaa-ismailia-fc

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