# Washington Spirit vs. Kansas City Current

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 38% across 19 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/washington-spirit-vs-kansas-city-current
Updated: 2026-05-03T14:05:34.473Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 38% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Cross-venue: Kalshi 40% / Polymarket 7% — 33pp spread
- 24h volume: $50K

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle | 53¢ | −1pp | $20K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-winner-seattle-kalshi-kxmlbgame-26may031610kcsea-sea |
| Kansas City | 47¢ | +1pp | $14K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-winner-kansas-city-kalshi-kxmlbgame-26may031610kcsea-kc |
| Kansas City Chiefs | 7¢ | −1pp | $6K | polymarket | /markets/nfl-champion-2027-kansas-city-chiefs-polymarket-0xee307e0609e90bd64e7bb75135662091ff438b043031d79337a67b4d1f54763d |
| Over 7.5 runs scored | 52¢ | +3pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-total-runs-over-75-runs-sco-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610kcsea-8 |
| Kansas City | 38¢ | −1pp | $2K | kalshi | /markets/what-will-be-tyreek-hills-next-team-kansas-city-kalshi-kxnextteamnfl-26thill-kc |
| Yes | 45¢ | +1pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-first-inning-run-yes-kalshi-kxmlbrfi-26may031610kcsea |
| Over 8.5 runs scored | 44¢ | — | $798 | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-total-runs-over-85-runs-sco-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610kcsea-9 |
| Kansas City | 6¢ | — | $733 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-2027-pro-football-champio-kalshi-kxsb-27-kc |
| Justin Fields | 32¢ | −22pp | $612 | kalshi | /markets/will-justin-fields-be-starting-quarterback-for-kan-kalshi-kxstartingqbweek1-w1-26sep15-kc-jfie |
| Kansas City | 13¢ | — | $602 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-champion-kalshi-kxnflafcchamp-27-kc |
| Patrick Mahomes | 62¢ | +26pp | $549 | kalshi | /markets/will-patrick-mahomes-be-starting-quarterback-for-k-kalshi-kxstartingqbweek1-w1-26sep15-kc-pmah |
| Kansas City wins by over 3.5 runs | 18¢ | +3pp | $447 | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-wins-by-over-35-runs-kansas-city-wins-kalshi-kxmlbspread-26may031610kcsea-kc4 |
| Zero Tenacity | 16¢ | +3pp | $341 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-the-zero-tenacity-vs-nigma-kalshi-kxdota2game-26may031100z10ngx-z10 |
| Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored | 52¢ | +17pp | $291 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-score-over-35-runs-kansas-city-ov-kalshi-kxmlbteamtotal-26may031610kcsea-kc4 |
| Over 6.5 runs scored | 65¢ | +4pp | $232 | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-total-runs-over-65-runs-sco-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610kcsea-7 |
| Over 5.5 runs scored | 72¢ | +1pp | $129 | kalshi | /markets/kansas-city-vs-seattle-total-runs-over-55-runs-sco-kalshi-kxmlbtotal-26may031610kcsea-6 |
| Kansas City | 33¢ | +1pp | $101 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-the-pro-football-afc-west-div-kalshi-kxnflafcwest-27-kc |
| 75+ wins | 47¢ | ±0 | $91 | kalshi | /markets/will-kansas-city-win-at-least-75-games-this-season-kalshi-kxmlbwins-kc-26-t75 |
| Zero Tenacity | 23¢ | +2pp | $2 | kalshi | /markets/will-zero-tenacity-win-map-2-in-the-zero-tenacity-kalshi-kxdota2map-26may031100z10ngx-2-z10 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 38 |
| 2026-04-19 | 43 |
| 2026-04-26 | 29 |
| 2026-05-03 | 41 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Patrick Mahomes +26pp 35→61¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-26 · Patrick Mahomes −25pp 38→13¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Justin Fields −22pp 53→31¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-03 · Kansas City over 3.5 runs scored +17pp 34→51¢ · kalshi
- 2026-04-28 · Kansas City Chiefs +14pp 6→20¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/washington-spirit-vs-kansas-city-current
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=washington-spirit-vs-kansas-city-current

## License

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