# Will the 1st half score be Draw 1-1

> Draw 1H 0-0 leads at 40%, runner-up 24% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 37 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wc1hscore
Updated: 2026-06-25T22:20:50.712Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-07-10

## Headline

- Leader: Draw 1H 0-0 at 40%
- Runner-up: Draw 1H 0-0 at 24%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $7K

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw 1H 0-0 | 40¢ | — | $1K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-draw-0-0-draw-1h-0-0-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26egyiri-egy0iri0 |
| Draw 1H 0-0 | 24¢ | — | $358 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-draw-0-0-draw-1h-0-0-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26uruesp-uru0esp0 |
| Draw 1H 0-0 | 21¢ | — | $201 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-draw-0-0-draw-1h-0-0-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26cpvksa-cpv0ksa0 |
| Spain wins 1H 1-0 | 19¢ | — | $384 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-spain-wins-1-0-spain-wi-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26uruesp-uru0esp1 |
| Draw 1H 1-1 | 9¢ | +1pp | $500 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-draw-1-1-draw-1h-1-1-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26norfra-nor1fra1 |
| Uruguay wins 1H 1-0 | 8¢ | — | $384 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-uruguay-wins-1-0-urugua-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26uruesp-uru1esp0 |
| Spain wins 1H 2-0 | 8¢ | — | $268 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-spain-wins-2-0-spain-wi-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26uruesp-uru0esp2 |
| France wins 1H 2-1 | 5¢ | — | $3K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-france-wins-2-1-france-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26norfra-nor1fra2 |
| Spain wins 1H 3-0 | 3¢ | — | $656 | kalshi | /markets/will-the-1st-half-score-be-spain-wins-3-0-spain-wi-kalshi-kxwc1hscore-26jun26uruesp-uru0esp3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Draw 1H 1-1 | Spain wins 1H 2-0 | France wins 1H 2-1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | 2 | — | — |
| 2026-06-25 | 3 | 2 | 2 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This represents the likelihood that the first half of an upcoming match ends in a 1-1 scoreline. At 15%, this outcome ranks slightly below the leading scenario (0-0 draw at 15%) and reflects modest trader confidence in exactly one goal per team in 45 minutes. The probability depends on both teams' attacking efficiency and defensive solidity early in the match. A scoreless first half currently appears more probable, while single-goal advantages (Netherlands 1-0 at 11%, Sweden 1-0 at 5%) fragment the remaining probability mass. The match itself will resolve this contract once the first half concludes, determining whether the exact 1-1 outcome occurs or one of the 17 other possible scorelines materializes.

### Key factors

- 0-0 draw is the modal outcome at 15%, suggesting defensive setup or cautious play is expected in the early stages
- Netherlands 1-0 at 11% is the second-most-common single-goal scenario, indicating moderate offensive threat from one team
- Sweden 1-0 at 5% and other outcomes fragment probability, with no alternative scoring scenario exceeding 11%
- Total trading volume of $75+ across top contracts indicates meaningful market interest despite relatively low absolute prices
- Match schedule and kickoff time will determine when this contract resolves; no data on match date provided in current market snapshot

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wc1hscore
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wc1hscore

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.