# Will Any Halftime Performer perform Boy With Luv at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final Halftime Show scheduled for July 19, 2026 at New York New Jersey Stadium

> Dai Dai leads at 86%, runner-up 8% across 20 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 20 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wcfinalsongs
Updated: 2026-07-13T02:20:51.611Z
Category: sports
Status: active

## Headline

- Leader: Dai Dai at 86%
- Runner-up: Hips Don't Lie at 8%
- Outcomes: 20 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dai Dai | 86¢ | −6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-dai-dai-at-the-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-dai |
| Hips Don't Lie | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-hips-dont-lie-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-hip |
| Zoo | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-zoo-at-the-202-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-zoo |
| Chantaje | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-chantaje-at-th-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-cha |
| TQG | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-tqg-at-the-202-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-tqg |
| La Tortura | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-la-tortura-at-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-lat |
| GIRL LIKE ME | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-girl-like-me-a-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-gir |
| Waka Waka (This Time for Africa) | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-waka-waka-this-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-wak |
| Whenever, Wherever | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-whenever-where-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-whe |
| Can't Remember to Forget You | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-cant-remember-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-can |
| SWIM | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-swim-at-the-20-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-swi |
| Body to Body | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-body-to-body-a-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-bod |
| 2.0 | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-20-at-the-2026-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-20 |
| Hooligan | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-hooligan-at-th-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-hoo |
| FYA | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-fya-at-the-202-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-fya |
| they don't know 'bout us | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-they-dont-know-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-they |
| NORMAL | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-normal-at-the-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-nor |
| Like Animals | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-like-animals-a-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-lik |
| Aliens | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-aliens-at-the-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-ali |
| Into the Sun | 8¢ | −2pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-any-halftime-performer-perform-into-the-sun-a-kalshi-kxwcfinalsongs-26jul20-itr |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Dai Dai | Hips Don't Lie | Zoo |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-10 | 92 | 5 | 5 |
| 2026-07-11 | 86 | 3 | 3 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-07-11 · Dai Dai −6pp 92→86¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This probability reflects market expectations that the song "Boy With Luv" will be performed by at least one halftime performer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final on July 19, 2026. The 86% probability suggests strong confidence in this outcome, likely driven by the song's global popularity and the performer lineup's typical inclusion of well-known tracks. The main factor affecting this probability would be the official announcement of the halftime performers and their confirmed setlist, which typically occurs days before the event. Secondary factors include artist choice, time constraints within the 12-15 minute typical halftime window, and whether the song fits the theme or narrative the performers intend to create. Uncertainty would decline significantly once organizers release the final performer roster and any pre-event promotional materials that hint at song selection. The event occurs in one week, making resolution imminent.

### Key factors

- Official halftime performer announcement has not yet occurred; the identity of performers determines setlist possibilities directly
- "Boy With Luv" is a collaborative track by BTS and Halsey released in 2019 with over 1 billion streams; broader appeal increases inclusion likelihood if either artist performs
- FIFA World Cup halftime shows typically feature 3-5 songs in a 12-15 minute window; fewer slots reduce probability of any specific song being selected
- The 86% market price implies near-consensus belief in performance, suggesting participants expect either the confirmed performers to include international or pop artists with incentive to perform the track
- Setlist confirmation usually occurs 3-7 days before the event; final performer announcement expected by July 15-17 would be the key resolution catalyst

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wcfinalsongs
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wcfinalsongs

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.