# Brazil: 6+ corners

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 32% across 20 contracts — refreshed 29 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wctcorners
Updated: 2026-06-26T02:20:49.256Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-07-12

## Headline

- Probability: 32% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $8K

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6+ corners: Uruguay: 6+ | 16¢ | +3pp | $3K | kalshi | /markets/uruguay-6-corners-uruguay-6-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26uruesp-uru6 |
| 5+ corners: Cape Verde: 5+ | 44¢ | +2pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/cape-verde-5-corners-cape-verde-5-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26cpvksa-cpv5 |
| 8+ corners: Uruguay: 8+ | 5¢ | — | $960 | kalshi | /markets/uruguay-8-corners-uruguay-8-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26uruesp-uru8 |
| 6+ corners: Argentina: 6+ | 51¢ | +18pp | $808 | kalshi | /markets/argentina-6-corners-argentina-6-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27jorarg-arg6 |
| 7+ corners: England: 7+ | 52¢ | +2pp | $459 | kalshi | /markets/england-7-corners-england-7-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27paneng-eng7 |
| 4+ corners: Uruguay: 4+ | 49¢ | +3pp | $385 | kalshi | /markets/uruguay-4-corners-uruguay-4-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26uruesp-uru4 |
| 5+ corners: Saudi Arabia: 5+ | 44¢ | +1pp | $333 | kalshi | /markets/saudi-arabia-5-corners-saudi-arabia-5-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26cpvksa-ksa5 |
| 4+ corners: Colombia: 4+ | 51¢ | +1pp | $295 | kalshi | /markets/colombia-4-corners-colombia-4-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27colpor-col4 |
| 6+ corners: Spain: 6+ | 51¢ | — | $276 | kalshi | /markets/spain-6-corners-spain-6-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26uruesp-esp6 |
| 5+ corners: Portugal: 5+ | 54¢ | +2pp | $217 | kalshi | /markets/portugal-5-corners-portugal-5-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27colpor-por5 |
| 4+ corners: Ghana: 4+ | 44¢ | +2pp | $214 | kalshi | /markets/ghana-4-corners-ghana-4-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27crogha-gha4 |
| 10+ corners: Spain: 10+ | 5¢ | — | $164 | kalshi | /markets/spain-10-corners-spain-10-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26uruesp-esp10 |
| 7+ corners: Belgium: 7+ | 50¢ | — | $112 | kalshi | /markets/belgium-7-corners-belgium-7-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26nzlbel-bel7 |
| 3+ corners: Panama: 3+ | 51¢ | +1pp | $111 | kalshi | /markets/panama-3-corners-panama-3-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27paneng-pan3 |
| 7+ corners: Panama: 7+ | 3¢ | — | $92 | kalshi | /markets/panama-7-corners-panama-7-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27paneng-pan7 |
| 10+ corners: Argentina: 10+ | 4¢ | +5pp | $74 | kalshi | /markets/argentina-10-corners-argentina-10-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27jorarg-arg10 |
| 8+ corners: Spain: 8+ | 20¢ | +6pp | $71 | kalshi | /markets/spain-8-corners-spain-8-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun26uruesp-esp8 |
| 8+ corners: Uzbekistan: 8+ | 5¢ | +5pp | $64 | kalshi | /markets/uzbekistan-8-corners-uzbekistan-8-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27coduzb-uzb8 |
| 11+ corners: England: 11+ | 7¢ | +1pp | $56 | kalshi | /markets/england-11-corners-england-11-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27paneng-eng11 |
| 6+ corners: Croatia: 6+ | 38¢ | +3pp | $51 | kalshi | /markets/croatia-6-corners-croatia-6-kalshi-kxwctcorners-26jun27crogha-cro6 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-24 | 29 |
| 2026-06-25 | 35 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-25 · 6+ corners: Argentina: 6+ +18pp 33→51¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-25 · 8+ corners: Spain: 8+ +6pp 16→22¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-25 · 10+ corners: Argentina: 10+ +5pp 3→8¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-25 · 8+ corners: Uzbekistan: 8+ +5pp 3→8¢ · kalshi
- 2026-06-25 · 6+ corners: Uruguay: 6+ +3pp 10→13¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This market estimates a 45% chance that Brazil will be awarded 6 or more corner kicks in an upcoming match. Corner frequency depends primarily on match dynamics—team possession patterns, defensive tactics, and attacking positioning—rather than fixed team attributes. The current price reflects baseline expectations for Brazil's typical corner rate, with movement dependent on the specific opponent and match conditions. The resolution will occur when the match concludes and official corner totals are recorded. Key drivers include Brazil's attacking intensity, their opponent's defensive setup, and whether the match remains competitive enough to generate multiple set-piece opportunities.

### Key factors

- Brazil's historical corner average per match compared to their typical opponents
- The opposing team's defensive style and propensity to concede corners through aggressive attacking play
- Match weather conditions and field state, which affect ball movement and set-piece frequency
- The referee's consistency in calling fouls that result in corner awards versus goal kicks
- Whether Brazil pursues aggressive tactics early or adopts a cautious approach that reduces attacking plays

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wctcorners
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wctcorners

## License

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