# What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit in April 2026 — ↑ $4,900

> ↓ $4,300 leads at 93%, runner-up 49% across 7 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 25 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/what-gold-xauusd-hit-april
Updated: 2026-06-08T08:20:07.810Z
Category: markets
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-31

## Headline

- Leader: ↓ $4,300 at 93%
- Runner-up: ↓ $4,200 at 49%
- Outcomes: 7 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (7 contracts)
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (7)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $4,300 | 93¢ | +5pp | $689 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-june-4300-polymarket-0x29a63e3c3163446dfe747e94e41109b5f4061f708e6ac91cd3c715649bf7b76c |
| ↓ $4,200 | 49¢ | ±0 | $1K | polymarket | /markets/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-june-4200-polymarket-0x8cf61b7b84b6ac2e0c619867dd6966e688b43e4fd4c866423da2f757c58f0a9f |
| ↑ $6,000 | 21¢ | +3pp | $5K | polymarket | /markets/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december-6000-polymarket-0x75546dcfa25f2cdd0edb5730ed2dc6f4b03940c2b1cb27eaefba47bfe434345d |
| ↓ $3,800 | 6¢ | ±0 | $2K | polymarket | /markets/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-june-3800-polymarket-0x1680cb8dd6aa67cc5daeb3e04552f5b7ac4ac64ec71b7f9c8d1757c7795786ca |
| ↑ $8,000 | 6¢ | −1pp | $350 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december-8000-polymarket-0x90e5f1d7ef37eab2dc577c37770599c8588e797e378ab589d26afe2cffc79f4a |
| ↑ $4,900 | 4¢ | −1pp | $7 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-june-4900-polymarket-0x1f478289d98ce38307785bfc98b1f05aaf31680ad52b498ec0a668098281eece |
| ↑ $15,000 | 4¢ | −1pp | $4 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-gold-gc-hit-by-end-of-december-15000-polymarket-0xc44228f307e8dd5f8735dcb7e0fff4badcb52a97fc384afe6ebcf19a03b6382e |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | ↓ $4,300 | ↓ $4,200 | ↑ $6,000 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 25 | 15 | — |
| 2026-05-12 | 23 | 18 | 32 |
| 2026-05-25 | 35 | 18 | 24 |
| 2026-06-01 | 31 | 19 | 20 |
| 2026-06-08 | 85 | 42 | 21 |

_31 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-06 · ↓ $4,300 +30pp 49→79¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-05 · ↓ $4,200 +14pp 19→33¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-05 · ↓ $4,300 +14pp 35→49¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-06 · ↓ $4,200 +11pp 33→44¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-01 · ↓ $4,300 +10pp 21→31¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/what-gold-xauusd-hit-april
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=what-gold-xauusd-hit-april

## License

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