# What will OpenAI's public ticker be — $OAI

> Closed. Last odds frozen 1 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/what-openais-public-ticker
Updated: 2026-06-18T05:20:21.689Z
Category: technology · Topic: ai-tech
Status: historical

## Headline

- Leader: $OAI at 61%
- Runner-up: $OPAI at 14%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $OAI | 61¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be-oai-polymarket-0xaf8b8621cd892486813e6ba58778593000837e520f34e046753e754e979e2a00 |
| $OPAI | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be-opai-polymarket-0xd5efc9d4c6bc32d7a0b2c34f894186aa94ca9a10715d55c65529f138c8404dbc |
| $LLM | 6¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be-llm-polymarket-0x1ba0aa24dc0da821208580b06a448f646314c3ff4a1683c3454d68b2fac1a649 |
| $OA | 4¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be-oa-polymarket-0x9dc2691dcbb4d5d2ba4e3bed89dad33708d098fb13ee65d308561e64423ac5d6 |
| $AAGI | 3¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-will-openais-public-ticker-be-aagi-polymarket-0xe6474ee6aab66e1b5c919e6e6eb69439a60a823142ec0c3582d45371d947f560 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 | 6 |
| 2026-06-18 | 6 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Analysis

This market estimates a 61% probability that OpenAI will trade publicly under the ticker symbol $OAI if the company chooses to go public. The strong positioning of $OAI reflects its alignment with the company's abbreviation and historical precedent for tech companies using short, recognizable tickers. The probability remains uncertain because OpenAI has not announced formal IPO plans, timing is unconfirmed, and regulatory or strategic factors could lead to an alternative ticker. The main drivers are OpenAI's publicly stated interest in exploring public markets, CEO statements about potential timelines, and typical SEC ticker allocation practices. Resolution depends on OpenAI filing an S-1 registration statement and receiving ticker approval from SEC and FINRA, which would provide definitive confirmation. Until then, the market reflects educated speculation based on naming conventions and limited official guidance.

### Key factors

- OpenAI has not filed an S-1 registration statement or announced a formal IPO date as of June 2026
- SEC and FINRA must formally approve the chosen ticker symbol; OpenAI cannot unilaterally select $OAI
- Alternative tickers ($OPAI, $LLM, $OA) collectively trade at 24¢, indicating meaningful uncertainty about which symbol will be selected
- Historical precedent shows tech companies sometimes receive non-obvious tickers due to availability, regulatory conflicts, or strategic preference (e.g., Nvidia trades as $NVDA, not $NV)
- No scheduled catalyst or filing deadline has been publicly announced that would resolve this question in the near term

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/what-openais-public-ticker
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=what-openais-public-ticker
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/ai-tech

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.