# What price will Hyperliquid hit in 2026 — ↓ 8

> ↑ 46 leads at 83%, runner-up 73% across 13 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 10 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/what-price-hyperliquid-hit
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:35:59.826Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Leader: ↑ 46 at 83%
- Runner-up: ↑ 50 at 73%
- Outcomes: 13 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (13 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (13)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 46 | 83¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-46-polymarket-0x2ccd47539b5208bfb93b00461dec25dfa4739bbff2f87ebd44dcaec19a323845 |
| ↑ 50 | 73¢ | ±0 | $13 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-50-polymarket-0xfd2bdf9324af684d6d596c79606f876ef526a9226575ec3b9dcc73712637e00e |
| ↑ 58 | 58¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-58-polymarket-0x8f1a3245ec9e5edb18d4440206d275daa6ce4170abf041272268b2e090520660 |
| ↑ 54 | 57¢ | +17pp | $132 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-54-polymarket-0x08aa311914849c68c99adef467d1bed03ba7d68eab997c7d53e0c2661903301b |
| ↑ 70 | 28¢ | −2pp | $65 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-70-polymarket-0xcd9228e46e7ace46a2e18396932cb2f6336725d8d83877b51f95e1be9c5bdf8e |
| ↑ 62 | 28¢ | +2pp | $24 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-62-polymarket-0xc53e5d334fd60c52660ae22981a5e8e2c63f0fb1c9d5a94b6b766fee1a4aef22 |
| ↓ 20 | 25¢ | −3pp | $710 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-20-polymarket-0xa4cab194f7487ecbe058aa8278a45a51487afe828af6c3c2eed5b096639c23e9 |
| ↑ 80 | 22¢ | ±0 | $5 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-80-polymarket-0xc2b3271feb6086186483f74883b31cf018996505827f4a23a1cc86ef03c5d9c4 |
| ↑ 66 | 19¢ | −13pp | $60 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-66-polymarket-0xda041e02c4a9a6d935a85c0c81663a20561859e4de0d3f53a29864b4eb577e27 |
| ↑ 100 | 16¢ | −2pp | $307 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-100-polymarket-0xeae133a71045c94ab57717d3f4aab62758e2a915a27f9606e383024975264467 |
| ↓ 16 | 13¢ | −8pp | $532 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-16-polymarket-0x8555a03570e1eb69c94ab5d41796058d8fcb9e909a6464e6cec9ff85d199b7bf |
| ↓ 12 | 8¢ | −19pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-12-polymarket-0x8f9956410b9b8ef4c112ea03800920bc445deff855d57fb156c9ab9b56aecc8a |
| ↓ 8 | 6¢ | −14pp | $100 | polymarket | /markets/what-price-will-hyperliquid-hit-in-2026-8-polymarket-0x587313a1b7d4eae36578004e3333e3d8bc9159177ecd255ff61b947a4e636b02 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | ↑ 46 | ↑ 50 | ↑ 58 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | 74 | 64 | 45 |
| 2026-04-19 | 83 | 81 | 68 |
| 2026-04-26 | 87 | 74 | 49 |
| 2026-05-02 | 83 | 75 | 56 |
| 2026-05-03 | 83 | 75 | — |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-04-28 · ↓ 16 +19pp 19→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-30 · ↓ 12 −19pp 27→8¢ · polymarket
- 2026-04-28 · ↓ 12 +18pp 9→27¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · ↑ 54 +17pp 45→62¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-01 · ↓ 8 −14pp 20→6¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This 83% probability reflects trader expectations that Hyperliquid will trade below $8 at some point during 2026. The high probability suggests most traders believe either the token will not reach or sustain higher price levels, or that bearish pressure will dominate through the year. Key drivers include Hyperliquid's current market valuation relative to $8, trading volume and adoption metrics on the platform, and broader cryptocurrency market conditions. The outcome will be determined by actual trading prices recorded on major exchanges throughout 2026, with volatility spikes—particularly around exchange listings, product announcements, or major crypto market moves—potentially the most significant near-term catalyst for repricing these contracts.

### Key factors

- Current Hyperliquid spot price relative to $8 threshold and recent trading range volatility
- Trading volume and active user growth on Hyperliquid platform versus competitor DEXs
- Correlation with Bitcoin and broader crypto market cycles, especially if BTC sustains above $40,000
- Liquidity depth and bid-ask spreads on major exchanges listing HLP, affecting price discovery
- Scheduled protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements, or major institutional adoption events in 2026

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=what-price-hyperliquid-hit

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