# Which company has the #2 AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

> Anthropic leads at 51%, runner-up 32% across 15 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-2-ai-model-june
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.321Z
Category: technology
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-30

## Headline

- Leader: Anthropic at 51%
- Runner-up: Google at 32%
- Outcomes: 15 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (15 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2

## Bound contracts (15)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 51¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x2fa398b0da1dddf91587ca5b78410460c1d418126226bcd45a02d35d0958f6e4 |
| Google | 32¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x47f87fd6632b1066497c7e63137b8b1222fa75b8cdbc3f352fd48e8b611a7b1e |
| Meta | 29¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x6a5e8fb58055fd9357688af01aabb8fc048faa0dc5aaadec00e86afd731ae873 |
| xAI | 28¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xe219e7a9f735dbf4b360406a95adee8fe9e079a072ded3d9b539a5f0ac725a8d |
| Moonshot | 27¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x191766691f910869a369124f213d709e9d6d9bc1b1feb1efb74f75da3596a926 |
| Meituan | 26¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x850c6757a6c12c47d52fba19bd54d83362d3d248d89f58fc9f2ef1592bed2e8a |
| Microsoft | 26¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x14b5599fcceff4bf48e447420d91f2f8a0bb752fb499df61a0303632ea4a9b2c |
| Mistral | 25¢ | ±0 | $2 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xdc2d4e14d2e2128fac0739b4db5aff95d79b3abe014b88b92eea71a78bf2d5de |
| ByteDance | 25¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x0f6c45c6164c81c2d0769edaef6fcb7c3839d1cf48111e81ba2b057380ef05d0 |
| Z.ai | 24¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x7592697f64638b183f7ceb3c8933e3b19e193c3ff8edc959952d5595a9ba29d9 |
| Alibaba | 17¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xeafe109e1c4f880c601565aa295f21a43c43a2e8518c98b795bd285bc7392602 |
| OpenAI | 11¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x6224dde8680200e9b27d2834f7efc3fad04dee4f6cd2a79ed934e4900092a35a |
| Amazon | 7¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xf865aca5862f476c4adc717d1ba6ba2b9a59ec83efa950d1297f213bb7bc6523 |
| DeepSeek | 4¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x6a5c068ab21ca11d8fbd3f73ecc506128dfeb4570c5f60b784d78c1c385229b8 |
| Baidu | 3¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-2-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x2172110cdd9752ecae395d77d65b66844d24565020f77dd544b143e84c877ebc |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Anthropic | Google | Meta |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 56 | 38 | 22 |
| 2026-05-07 | 54 | 36 | 26 |
| 2026-05-08 | 53 | 37 | 28 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Alibaba −7pp 36→29¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Meta +4pp 22→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Mistral −3pp 36→33¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · xAI −3pp 33→30¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Z.ai −3pp 32→29¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-2-ai-model-june
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=which-company-has-2-ai-model-june

## License

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