# Which company has the #3 AI model end of June? (Style Control On): Z.ai

> Anthropic leads at 43%, runner-up 41% across 15 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-3-ai-model-june
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.471Z
Category: technology
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-30

## Headline

- Leader: Anthropic at 43%
- Runner-up: Google at 41%
- Outcomes: 15 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (15 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (15)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 43¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xd3b572f14a93e1d3eb1fb9424c684bbf602539fb02111c971c2936aaf69812ea |
| Google | 41¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x572d474a2eaef4e5f26c31a3129e7d089883cddfd120d9ab5546d99953cc97b7 |
| Alibaba | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xdf57ac2d920591f9d85d62559002e23d13c5765ca5f47dc0ac75040d27d3ca89 |
| Meta | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x198d1d520cf88f5ea7c10aac8bd164bb9982a1aecbf8c00c4497babe1f6acff0 |
| Z.ai | 31¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xce80435aa7f35ac7df1b06edf62488b6c5fb7f0e063a4290eeeb2c9d6676aa05 |
| ByteDance | 30¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x4bcc4a02e0d5788e72ffe9d5b106e809c842f7b6b650827034f48aec518f4679 |
| Amazon | 28¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xe60a810bc3eda30c79d245fe95dbcb011f657701ea7770e5ef3ab456821aac15 |
| Moonshot | 27¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x1d5eb2d93db80bc7cd054beb300d378f53fd6d3d100f01fd4d0abe036546ace7 |
| Microsoft | 21¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xe9b82e9d2575660feaf771d6bf0433e7a017c7ef73aa5d33225d26572144d956 |
| Baidu | 18¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x5d7ebc10d54821129f7c23125d25174e49e2a56881606d2d7fa049a2128b4582 |
| Mistral | 16¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xfdba683c363fe1706402ae9aa1c1abda05f2834b8199c5636d3896a941cdb44a |
| OpenAI | 12¢ | −17pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x3e2450588be1051f60a6ef4197370578c89e48940a2b40829955f8da6f4a296f |
| xAI | 12¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xb850b1595879cf743fa91985fcd74ada9807875da51fa0a276162a7d31d9b101 |
| DeepSeek | 9¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0x8fe8a74d743c414ba53e55f2ca676a8038496995b81636d92206b6af89ee0ffc |
| Meituan | 8¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-june-style-polymarket-0xa760f69de6da4ad17a9441d95bffd6461a29a337e82d3e2547c3abed0915ed48 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Anthropic | Google | Alibaba |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 45 | 44 | 40 |
| 2026-05-07 | 45 | 44 | 35 |
| 2026-05-08 | 45 | 44 | 36 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · OpenAI −17pp 29→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Alibaba −5pp 40→35¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Z.ai −5pp 37→32¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Meta −5pp 38→33¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · ByteDance −3pp 36→33¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-3-ai-model-june
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=which-company-has-3-ai-model-june

## License

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