# Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

> Anthropic leads at 78%, runner-up 14% across 5 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-3-ai-model-may
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.988Z
Category: technology
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: Anthropic at 78%
- Runner-up: Google at 14%
- Outcomes: 5 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (5 contracts)
- 24h volume: $53

## Bound contracts (5)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 78¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-polymarket-0xc83cce46b6e47df5bbed8afa93bbac7177b4b99d8cf9d6679fa4c5936d8d82db |
| Google | 14¢ | +1pp | $53 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-polymarket-0x54932d5d01139e72c7bc93bb9573df278b0100738e292d1f7c19771eea74deda |
| xAI | 3¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-polymarket-0x8179cd128275fb34f6bfc2c6bc5a40c89bd7b19af0544e1ede717fb28fb1b6a5 |
| OpenAI | 3¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-polymarket-0xac1f8eb73f6d204f31da736f5219bf9677f75101179b58e3bd941aed4d594b54 |
| Alibaba | 3¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-3-ai-model-end-of-may-style-polymarket-0x7d65ed0e415e2b0087ea60c74c0f98049e2b7d5e9590a35cc340c063391439c3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Anthropic | Google | xAI |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | — | 21 | — |
| 2026-05-07 | 72 | 19 | 3 |
| 2026-05-08 | 72 | 20 | — |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Alibaba −4pp 8→4¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-3-ai-model-may
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=which-company-has-3-ai-model-may

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.