# Which company has the best Math AI model end of May

> Google leads at 86%, runner-up 11% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 59 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-best-math-ai-model-may
Updated: 2026-05-28T21:20:11.064Z
Category: technology
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: Google at 86%
- Runner-up: Anthropic at 11%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $124K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Google | 86¢ | +1pp | $40K | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-ma-polymarket-0xb45bcc8c4580c1c015f6e17c5bd13e2fa31c27920cafe3ddbf59b4b5fbd526f2 |
| Anthropic | 11¢ | +6pp | $84K | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-best-math-ai-model-end-of-ma-polymarket-0xf5eed5d402c85807bede0e4b9169173e48c5ba42879da524cc03ad35092c7995 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Google | Anthropic |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-18 | 10 | 74 |
| 2026-05-21 | 73 | 23 |
| 2026-05-28 | 82 | 23 |

_11 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-22 · Anthropic −8pp 23→15¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-22 · Google +8pp 73→81¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-27 · Anthropic −7pp 24→17¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-23 · Anthropic +6pp 15→21¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-24 · Anthropic +6pp 21→27¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-best-math-ai-model-may
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=which-company-has-best-math-ai-model-may

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.
