# Which company has the second best AI model end of May

> Anthropic leads at 80%, runner-up 19% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-may
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.245Z
Category: technology
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: Anthropic at 80%
- Runner-up: Google at 19%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $2K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 80¢ | −1pp | $968 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-second-best-ai-model-end-of-polymarket-0x0ae8b3f17fec50cc5f05cd2cb6ce8c9bb72cae58b43ecb2282844bf2283b8189 |
| Google | 19¢ | +2pp | $626 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-second-best-ai-model-end-of-polymarket-0xa970036dde3bc2538ec4d5cd031a00a6c44b84a98139fa4a8267027eae7d399a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Anthropic | Google |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 84 | 14 |
| 2026-05-07 | 83 | 16 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-may
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=which-company-has-second-best-ai-model-may

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.