# Which company has the third best AI model end of June

> Anthropic leads at 52%, runner-up 27% across 12 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-third-best-ai-model-june
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:40.019Z
Category: technology
Status: active
Closes: 2026-06-30

## Headline

- Leader: Anthropic at 52%
- Runner-up: Baidu at 27%
- Outcomes: 12 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (12 contracts)
- 24h volume: $44

## Bound contracts (12)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0x3c6ece0cadb3d3d87bd47ac065722bf75521e904274870da03e164d719ea2c14 |
| Baidu | 27¢ | −6pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0xe60955706b28fd9da7ed1c073cbff673c64a15fb1896e54b2aa00fc9f3d2b754 |
| Google | 25¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0x9a410fefe79447cf2bc106107a7c1d95e09ce3951fb004d0c95fecfea8899203 |
| OpenAI | 17¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0xed7b4670ed91109dbf3b8c2164c411262bfba659215d7e600b5d89c64907ed4b |
| xAI | 5¢ | +5pp | $4 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0x30a46f14645deef836810b94b89303ef5c959ecbfffd84241d839af7069bc20b |
| Mistral | 4¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0x2063a8434dc249b3a231f3f04d3a1e1264fc307cf91d85754ef4061337e03297 |
| Alibaba | 4¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0x5c13b9070874ee0c470e443e74b9d7efa26203bc2ca565ac6c38bd687a885c48 |
| Meta | 4¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0xba024d448af41d2af770735d8f23f0a20f769eeaef46691b4dbe4265761f6966 |
| ByteDance | 4¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0x23c9f19ee0b82f7581b16ead72b74397f87b204cc9fad7f8236b17466e97dbaf |
| Z.ai | 3¢ | — | $36 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0xd5d0c255e2ff32fac94f9672b0799b24b70543d3718b24576b12d8be049dd339 |
| DeepSeek | 3¢ | — | $4 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0xbc377ca5e7e3b2579a43dcfcb1d945de2ab1d353b77d919cad955d90dfad7da4 |
| Moonshot | 3¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-j-polymarket-0xf7fd4b6312fce58f0d8ad08bac2c4f5f7fbf226b56538868171ef9c14cb10375 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Anthropic | Baidu | Google |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 50 | — | 36 |
| 2026-05-07 | 51 | 24 | 32 |
| 2026-05-08 | 52 | 18 | 34 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-08 · Baidu −6pp 24→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · xAI +5pp 4→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Google −4pp 36→32¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · OpenAI −4pp 22→18¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-third-best-ai-model-june
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=which-company-has-third-best-ai-model-june

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.