# Which company has the third best AI model end of May

> Anthropic leads at 51%, runner-up 45% across 2 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-third-best-ai-model-may
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:40.292Z
Category: technology
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: Anthropic at 51%
- Runner-up: Google at 45%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $57

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic | 51¢ | −4pp | $57 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-m-polymarket-0x576d7a61cc04a2962d70db3776b95c2b1cc26a88a1e87d99fde7c916358abf2a |
| Google | 45¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/which-company-has-the-third-best-ai-model-end-of-m-polymarket-0x233044b6511c50096cc927d6c91073d320c4ef6e80b423b1d3b92a2c73b94818 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Anthropic | Google |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 38 | 58 |
| 2026-05-07 | 57 | 41 |
| 2026-05-08 | 53 | 45 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Anthropic +19pp 38→57¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · Google −17pp 58→41¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Anthropic −4pp 57→53¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Google +4pp 41→45¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/which-company-has-third-best-ai-model-may
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=which-company-has-third-best-ai-model-may

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.