# Who will Paddy Pimblett fight next

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 94% across 1 contract — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-paddy-pimblett-fight-next
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.600Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2027-01-01

## Headline

- Probability: 94% (liquidity-weighted across 1 contract)
- Venue: Polymarket (1 contract)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (1)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benoît Saint Denis | 94¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-paddy-pimblett-fight-next-benot-saint-den-polymarket-0x15519349e5b94c6167470cc24664035bef413b39a6f80f5a101e8796f3817aa5 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 38 |
| 2026-04-25 | 86 |
| 2026-05-02 | 99 |
| 2026-05-07 | 95 |

_26 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Benoît Saint Denis +3pp 96→99¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-paddy-pimblett-fight-next
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=who-paddy-pimblett-fight-next

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.