# Who will perform at Todo Mundo no Rio 2026

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 15% across 11 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-perform-todo-mundo-no-rio
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:43.517Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2035-01-01

## Headline

- Probability: 15% (liquidity-weighted across 11 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $9K

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coldplay | 58¢ | +2pp | $8K | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-kalshi-kxworldcuphalftime-26-col |
| BTS | 28¢ | +4pp | $950 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-kalshi-kxworldcuphalftime-26-bts |
| JAY-Z | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-kalshi-kxworldcuphalftime-26-jay |
| Lorde | 9¢ | −1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-the-next-james-bond-song-lorde-kalshi-kxperformbondsong-35-lor |
| Oasis | 16¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-the-next-james-bond-song-oasis-kalshi-kxperformbondsong-35-oas |
| Beyoncé | 5¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-kalshi-kxworldcuphalftime-26-bey |
| Taylor Swift | 4¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-the-next-james-bond-song-taylor-s-kalshi-kxperformbondsong-35-tay |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 17¢ | +14pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-be-named-in-epstein-documents-released-in-kalshi-kxepsteinlist-27jan-ldic |
| Lana Del Rey | 12¢ | +1pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-the-next-james-bond-song-lana-del-kalshi-kxperformbondsong-35-lan |
| Mariah Carey | 6¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-kalshi-kxworldcuphalftime-26-mar |
| Justin Timberlake | 3¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/who-will-perform-at-the-2026-fifa-world-cup-final-kalshi-kxworldcuphalftime-26-tim |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | 10 |
| 2026-04-25 | 14 |
| 2026-05-02 | 8 |
| 2026-05-08 | 20 |

_27 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-06 · Leonardo DiCaprio +14pp 3→17¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-02 · Justin Timberlake −6pp 12→6¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · BTS +4pp 4→8¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-06 · JAY-Z −4pp 8→4¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-perform-todo-mundo-no-rio
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=who-perform-todo-mundo-no-rio

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.