# Who will Trump meet with in April

> Keir Starmer leads at 97%, runner-up 97% across 16 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 56 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-trump-meet-with-april
Updated: 2026-06-08T02:20:11.055Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: active
Closes: 2029-01-20

## Headline

- Leader: Keir Starmer at 97%
- Runner-up: Giorgia Meloni at 97%
- Outcomes: 16 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (16 contracts)
- 24h volume: $429

## Bound contracts (16)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keir Starmer | 97¢ | +1pp | $141 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-keir-starmer-polymarket-0x16f8fc62c90a5fd7ff053fd23b1900884e59ad677b68c01f4df7a780c4081cc5 |
| Giorgia Meloni | 97¢ | −1pp | $74 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-giorgia-meloni-polymarket-0x7e20c901df94dece914f2b7e4a3b01fa5784f8e55beacc56b1263527d3bb15dc |
| Ahmed al-Sharaa | 80¢ | −1pp | $19 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-ahmed-al-sharaa-polymarket-0x6fb581b1640953e05e46d454f5e7907c5988dcade6781c8c8f812b32a47a1d45 |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 76¢ | −1pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-mohammed-bin-salm-polymarket-0x1d64e87444a527dc7363c4c4f9b1ba3d4096944d4e15f98ebb0c6ec065efc63b |
| Vladimir Putin | 44¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-vladimir-putin-polymarket-0xc57bc9d0d9890815aa31d498d57af5d2d6e8d5245fd5ab104dfd7aed8c7b7081 |
| Aleksandr Lukashenko | 37¢ | −3pp | $78 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-aleksandr-lukashe-polymarket-0x9a59e167b7111dcfbd1b42b55a1105cfea20989105d1b65a267fb81419bc02a2 |
| Changpeng Zhao | 22¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-changpeng-zhao-polymarket-0xfad2167317be5a9fa5f7d2290494692d320a93dced3a4160119894d48e960a40 |
| Pope Leo XIV | 19¢ | −1pp | $13 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-pope-leo-xiv-polymarket-0x01d0f23e9b1acca5768a5ed358c9058b942d0cafac99d116540e13637311a9ea |
| MrBeast | 18¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-mrbeast-polymarket-0x498ffa5e6c0d68092e0881a59c7ea4cf4b940874fd697e22f6e25b843aa692ce |
| Kim Jong Un | 14¢ | −5pp | $68 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-kim-jong-un-polymarket-0xb5395470c9b87f5ae8ffc719c1376aa89b493adf083e01cb8064e683fbaa18fc |
| Jair Bolsonaro | 11¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-jair-bolsonaro-polymarket-0xd791829a13a854f0dbae5206b54cd851e35a66be3e7ab07745f7ad3290e1432c |
| Nicolás Maduro | 9¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-nicols-maduro-polymarket-0xc05743834659d9b618a2a5ece270ad7e0846238178d4e0f7005b9d1deb808fb3 |
| iShowSpeed | 8¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-ishowspeed-polymarket-0xea1490ae7a5f6c3e451dc7e243a1b4121a7f8d5a1dcfd68ca04e1cfc98f1a509 |
| Lai Ching-te | 7¢ | ±0 | $27 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-lai-ching-te-polymarket-0xe9d59a33a4d94c334684fb785cacf7c200e760f2003ef76289bfb244387a5940 |
| Nick Fuentes | 6¢ | +1pp | $2 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-nick-fuentes-polymarket-0xb94be43d8a8a9a3f1eae80196b1de733c38bca14520e3c359e5bf91d9628bf15 |
| Yoon Suk Yeol | 3¢ | −1pp | $3 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-meet-with-in-2026-yoon-suk-yeol-polymarket-0xe05a7b7f94ccae169cb558e3c17b24f0747dcf0f0691ae8f46b0dc495647b9b0 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Keir Starmer | Giorgia Meloni | Ahmed al-Sharaa |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | 67 | 86 | 57 |
| 2026-05-25 | 85 | 72 | 81 |
| 2026-06-01 | 89 | 92 | 81 |
| 2026-06-06 | 97 | 98 | 81 |
| 2026-06-07 | — | 97 | 80 |

_30 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-01 · Ahmed al-Sharaa +13pp 68→81¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-04 · Ahmed al-Sharaa +10pp 70→80¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-02 · Ahmed al-Sharaa −6pp 81→75¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-02 · Giorgia Meloni +5pp 92→97¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-05 · Kim Jong Un −5pp 19→14¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-trump-meet-with-april
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=who-trump-meet-with-april
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

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