# Who will Trump publicly insult by May 31

> Closed. Last odds frozen 3 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-trump-publicly-insult-may-31
Updated: 2026-06-05T01:20:12.528Z
Category: general · Topic: trump
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-31

## Headline

- Leader: Marjorie Taylor Greene at 20%
- Runner-up: Pope Leo XIV at 7%
- Outcomes: 6 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (6 contracts)
- 24h volume: $3K

## Bound contracts (6)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 20¢ | +15pp | $178 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31-marjorie-polymarket-0xfbac380124e56e0551243cc25a22d31f5f306b9b9819458055b402b5f5ca5c6e |
| Pope Leo XIV | 7¢ | ±0 | $2K | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31-pope-leo-polymarket-0x0f0223285758f7b55b947e79ecd15e1ad2a129ee4ac96deccefc80b1bb4ddbc4 |
| Emmanuel Macron | 6¢ | −3pp | $76 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31-emmanuel-polymarket-0x4620c5f35e8cdac6264b8de800276e266405c23cf9d65faea01c5cc8f753a463 |
| Tucker Carlson | 5¢ | +16pp | $810 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31-tucker-ca-polymarket-0x0b5676c33e495c58b8495e90f72b73a5dd7a196035cd31be17a37ff94a1a50b0 |
| Megyn Kelly | 5¢ | −4pp | $339 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31-megyn-kel-polymarket-0x0a928df82793092b84c15618d609ba5a3192f6ef7b2ddf5a7184770db32eda12 |
| Freidrich Merz | 4¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/who-will-trump-publicly-insult-by-may-31-freidrich-polymarket-0x5f37cb4d78cbbc2b44c298d977519751bc2f467776023794b1cf648a739305af |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Marjorie Taylor Greene | Pope Leo XIV | Emmanuel Macron |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | 69 | 5 | — |
| 2026-05-18 | 66 | — | 11 |
| 2026-05-25 | 35 | 3 | 9 |
| 2026-06-01 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 2026-06-03 | 100 | — | — |

_17 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-06-01 · Tucker Carlson +48pp 36→84¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-01 · Marjorie Taylor Greene +27pp 58→85¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-03 · Tucker Carlson +16pp 84→100¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-03 · Marjorie Taylor Greene +15pp 85→100¢ · polymarket
- 2026-06-03 · Megyn Kelly −4pp 6→2¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/who-trump-publicly-insult-may-31
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=who-trump-publicly-insult-may-31
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/trump

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.