# Will Awa Fam be selected to the Women's Pro Basketball All-Rookie team in the 2026 season

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 31% across 11 contracts — refreshed 51 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wnbaallrookie
Updated: 2026-07-14T06:20:51.063Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-12-15

## Headline

- Probability: 31% (liquidity-weighted across 11 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (11 contracts)
- 24h volume: $11

## Bound contracts (11)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pauline Astier | 35¢ | +34pp | $11 | kalshi | /markets/will-pauline-astier-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-pastier |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 24¢ | −3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-gabriela-jaquez-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-gjaquez11 |
| Kiki Rice | 12¢ | +10pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-kiki-rice-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-baske-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-krice1 |
| Angela Dugalic | 7¢ | — | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-angela-dugalic-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-adugalic32 |
| Awa Fam | 63¢ | +3pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-awa-fam-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-basketb-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-afam11 |
| Azzi Fudd | 90¢ | −6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-azzi-fudd-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-baske-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-afudd35 |
| Flau'jae Johnson | 72¢ | +56pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-flaujae-johnson-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-fjohnson4 |
| Jovana Nogic | 4¢ | −8pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-jovana-nogic-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-ba-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-jnogic |
| Lauren Betts | 17¢ | +6pp | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-lauren-betts-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-ba-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-lbetts51 |
| Madina Okot | 8¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-madina-okot-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-bas-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-mokot |
| Raven Johnson | 7¢ | ±0 | $0 | kalshi | /markets/will-raven-johnson-be-selected-to-the-womens-pro-b-kalshi-kxwnbaallrookie-26-rjohnson3 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-06-18 | 37 |
| 2026-06-30 | 34 |
| 2026-07-07 | 42 |
| 2026-07-14 | 63 |

_25 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-07-10 · Flau'jae Johnson −56pp 72→16¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-13 · Flau'jae Johnson +56pp 16→72¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-11 · Awa Fam +48pp 31→79¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-13 · Pauline Astier +34pp 1→35¢ · kalshi
- 2026-07-12 · Awa Fam −28pp 79→51¢ · kalshi

## Analysis

This probability reflects the market's assessment that Awa Fam has a 40% chance of being selected to the WNBA All-Rookie team for the 2026 season. The current level suggests moderate confidence, positioning her behind consensus frontrunners like Azzi Fudd (83%) and Jovana Nogic (63%), but ahead of some peers. Her selection likelihood depends on her actual playing time, statistics, and performance consistency throughout the 2026 WNBA season, compared directly against other first-year players. The All-Rookie team is typically selected at season's end based on voting that weighs rookie performance across the league. Key variables include whether Fam's team provides sufficient opportunity to accumulate stat-relevant minutes, how her individual production metrics compare to other qualifying rookies, and whether voters weight per-minute efficiency versus total impact.

### Key factors

- Awa Fam's actual minutes played and statistical output during the 2026 WNBA regular season compared to other first-year players
- Roster depth and playing time availability on her assigned WNBA team, which determines opportunity for stat accumulation
- Voting patterns from the media and coaches who select All-Rookie honors, which may favor higher-volume scorers or players on visible teams
- Comparison of her per-game and per-minute performance metrics against other rookies already trading at higher probabilities
- Whether injuries to competing rookies or unexpected breakout performances materially shift the competitive landscape for All-Rookie selection

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wnbaallrookie
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wnbaallrookie

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