# Portland vs Seattle winner

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 45% across 14 contracts — refreshed just now.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wnbagame
Updated: 2026-05-09T04:20:44.047Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-24

## Headline

- Probability: 45% (liquidity-weighted across 14 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (14 contracts)
- 24h volume: $33K
- Resolved: Los Angeles

## Bound contracts (14)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago | 66¢ | — | $11K | kalshi | /markets/chicago-vs-portland-winner-chicago-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09chipdx-chi |
| Dallas | 30¢ | +1pp | $6K | kalshi | /markets/dallas-vs-indiana-winner-dallas-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09dalind-dal |
| Indiana | 69¢ | +22pp | $6K | kalshi | /markets/dallas-vs-indiana-winner-indiana-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09dalind-ind |
| Las Vegas | 78¢ | +6pp | $5K | kalshi | /markets/phoenix-vs-las-vegas-winner-las-vegas-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09phxlv-lv |
| Phoenix | 21¢ | ±0 | $1K | kalshi | /markets/phoenix-vs-las-vegas-winner-phoenix-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09phxlv-phx |
| Atlanta | 59¢ | +8pp | $1K | kalshi | /markets/atlanta-vs-minnesota-winner-atlanta-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09atlmin-atl |
| Minnesota | 38¢ | +7pp | $908 | kalshi | /markets/atlanta-vs-minnesota-winner-minnesota-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09atlmin-min |
| Portland | 32¢ | +2pp | $819 | kalshi | /markets/chicago-vs-portland-winner-portland-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may09chipdx-pdx |
| New York | 52¢ | — | $296 | kalshi | /markets/new-york-vs-washington-winner-new-york-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may10nywsh-ny |
| Washington | 21¢ | — | $164 | kalshi | /markets/new-york-vs-washington-winner-washington-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may10nywsh-wsh |
| Las Vegas | 42¢ | — | $126 | kalshi | /markets/las-vegas-vs-los-angeles-winner-las-vegas-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may10lvla-lv |
| Los Angeles | 40¢ | — | $29 | kalshi | /markets/las-vegas-vs-los-angeles-winner-los-angeles-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may10lvla-la |
| Seattle | 33¢ | — | $27 | kalshi | /markets/seattle-vs-connecticut-winner-seattle-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may10seaconn-sea |
| Connecticut | 45¢ | — | $15 | kalshi | /markets/seattle-vs-connecticut-winner-connecticut-kalshi-kxwnbagame-26may10seaconn-conn |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 28 |
| 2026-05-07 | 42 |
| 2026-05-08 | 41 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-07 · Las Vegas +41pp 22→63¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-07 · Indiana +22pp 43→65¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Atlanta +8pp 49→57¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Minnesota +7pp 27→34¢ · kalshi
- 2026-05-08 · Las Vegas +6pp 63→69¢ · kalshi

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wnbagame
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wnbagame

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.