# Will Miroslava Medvedeva win the Medvedeva vs Akli

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 50% across 2 contracts — refreshed 5 h ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wtachallengermatch
Updated: 2026-05-08T22:50:14.344Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-20

## Headline

- Probability: 50% (liquidity-weighted across 2 contracts)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $243
- Resolved: Round Of 16 match?: Donna Vekic

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semifinal match?: Zhuoxuan Bai | 67¢ | — | $229 | kalshi | /markets/will-zhuoxuan-bai-win-the-bai-vs-liang-semifinal-m-kalshi-kxwtachallengermatch-26may09bailia-bai |
| Semifinal match?: En-Shuo Liang | 32¢ | — | $14 | kalshi | /markets/will-en-shuo-liang-win-the-bai-vs-liang-semifinal-kalshi-kxwtachallengermatch-26may09bailia-lia |

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wtachallengermatch
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wtachallengermatch

## License

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