# Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $78 by Apr 30, 2026

> Closed. Last odds frozen 25 d ago — final outcome on the venue.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wtiminm
Updated: 2026-05-30T07:20:12.459Z
Category: general · Topic: oil
Status: historical
Closes: 2026-05-30

## Headline

- Leader: 86 or below at 38%
- Runner-up: 80 or below at 4%
- Outcomes: 2 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Kalshi (2 contracts)
- 24h volume: $16K

## Bound contracts (2)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 86 or below | 38¢ | +10pp | $9K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-wti-front-month-settle-price-reac-kalshi-kxwtiminm-26may29-t86.01 |
| 80 or below | 4¢ | ±0 | $7K | kalshi | /markets/will-the-minimum-wti-front-month-settle-price-reac-kalshi-kxwtiminm-26may29-t80.01 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | 86 or below | 80 or below |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-25 | 30 | 6 |
| 2026-05-26 | 23 | 7 |
| 2026-05-27 | 25 | 6 |
| 2026-05-28 | 11 | 4 |
| 2026-05-29 | 21 | 4 |

_5 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/wtiminm
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=wtiminm
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/oil

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.