# Yokohama FC vs. Vanraure Hachinohe FC

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 39% across 20 contracts — refreshed 2 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/yokohama-fc-vs-vanraure-hachinohe-fc
Updated: 2026-05-03T16:50:54.285Z
Category: general
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 39% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $45

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC | 47¢ | — | $15 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-vanraure-ha-polymarket-0x22f232a4ff3fb6dc48b2734ca28c7e76cdbd6dc15713bab1bbec0a9ab1d0f330 |
| Draw (Vanraure Hachinohe FC vs. Shōnan Bellmāre) | 35¢ | ±0 | $15 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-draw-vanrau-polymarket-0x8e89cd086f69018bd4e53fbc93ef17768bb1a6bf2683a990d3f0b0c2dd865f78 |
| Shōnan Bellmāre | 37¢ | +1pp | $15 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-shnan-bellm-polymarket-0x475f3823541d9663de506d205c4cd6cd72c118ac45149c490edcb970520daf0f |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0x5680f0b7121ec57e079a94aeedcb896e311510ce202ea7b117e94af12e8e8296 |
| O/U 3.5 | 37¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0xf8c9058bc3f1c77e39ed03a30a3df9c41a377d75a71ad86ff20ff5167bf086be |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0xb005caf340abe097cfaf651d28daf1a3f140ba7bfc4606e1ad4c47e4b14c3bbc |
| Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5) | 35¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0xdc17d51b6bb0a05d2ff0878b2aa77f0d8358cea50f0fb3934c62c9b7a7b71ad4 |
| Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0x3cdb5c2e1112eeba26007873b48409ef4a240d91d9c6ccbb6b1c2985164cd493 |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0xb96a58929bb297d15a3be98281e74ba81b9969f096f6b99a45aa3fbfc26bdc54 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0x9e444ed12f7b483fdb4803329e21712f877823bf81f9c38c1ab193298a3ef814 |
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0xe04de2029752409a655f70c4b900dd9fd4f3a375552899c2bf3afa52f272f5d3 |
| Vanraure Hachinohe FC (-2.5) | 27¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/vanraure-hachinohe-fc-vs-shnan-bellmre-more-market-polymarket-0x542c3114a9d24601e7e4a34d66c2add0778fb7abf0db1f04150c70c09a2b3743 |
| Tochigi City FC (-1.5) | 31¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-tochig-polymarket-0x00d353e73d92c211a37d3b0eb03737f155a2b0413c3532525a81dc65562d5196 |
| Yokohama FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-yokoha-polymarket-0x2c1d8193e28b595f3903da1a31b9be397c53ac444485be771094d265d036eecf |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0x3f4aee4f0bd42c560dbc0bd1ce71f7af824e265312731cf81bb2cbc6191b054d |
| FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) | 14¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/fc-machida-zelvia-vs-yokohama-fmarinos-more-market-polymarket-0xbe04137a61065209207d8e048618cc97dc1587c58ade0a2218ede2adaf8b65c7 |
| Tochigi City FC (-2.5) | 27¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-tochig-polymarket-0xd08f51a60bef0a7c506ef2c93e03fde75b5311864a8c2b5b9f66777f3cb11e15 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0x1addf084258d8d2d82ad864949be42d2dbce523d92a71c9fa42acfe27c07ac8d |
| O/U 4.5 | 29¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0x5e3b757091dcad072621466203350361d21e0114936e597bba69eb781cc9609a |
| O/U 2.5 | 48¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/tochigi-city-fc-vs-yokohama-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0xd165f0be07f5e0f8d9c9531860a4288aa0971cf6dcfa9f6f3666f8f7277681c8 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Tochigi City FC (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shōnan Bellmāre (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Yokohama FC (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Shōnan Bellmāre (-2.5) +3pp 35→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · FC Machida Zelvia (-2.5) +3pp 32→35¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/yokohama-fc-vs-vanraure-hachinohe-fc
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=yokohama-fc-vs-vanraure-hachinohe-fc

## License

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