# Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 37% across 20 contracts — refreshed 8 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-beijing-guoan-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T13:20:10.315Z
Category: general · Topic: china
Status: active

## Headline

- Probability: 37% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $101

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dalian Yingbo FC | 23¢ | −3pp | $45 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-dalian-yingbo-polymarket-0x49cf3f5798088c5e4dd8a05df46ab949f8f7cf75a6d496edf1b8fab7bd317a83 |
| Draw (Beijing Guoan FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC) | 23¢ | −5pp | $39 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-draw-beijing-polymarket-0x331ebca57157765abb9b4b2733b18357bc80ff31210a36b843648025675ebacc |
| O/U 2.5 | 62¢ | — | $9 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xc6f8d09a9355a2998d4b5bd2319c8cef45cdb5936c1c335f76a41462f661d7bf |
| O/U 2.5 | 63¢ | — | $8 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xd0a2f0efd684af9051d535ebfb688b7037a3996508900509e3edc8d229d702d4 |
| Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) | 20¢ | +9pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xbba24fa424cea0cabf568622b7d0a67f97b5aaca217f97ad9c4b3b6fd37d1e51 |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x3ff606b99c24d4c886534599d596a64de569f7c053b4512c9176e268c5af2e24 |
| O/U 1.5 | 83¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x0d664c156c1d0ffcd41ba343827a9c3fbd37e809e10beaa7072cb9717e5658cb |
| Both Teams to Score | 61¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xa6bb1fce81a5a070df83386ddc0cac05f8910909895e60ee4e257a2b3c45bbaa |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5) | 13¢ | +13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xa820b44626be19ed92b577e4843559aa079687aab812138b2d4a067b21ba50da |
| O/U 3.5 | 40¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xc0a65a196c5efad06f4fd9c9537c9e0c42121143372351476e84c69757d72079 |
| Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5) | 13¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x869a6a92cc25ea92e6a28ab539c75138d485be5003e26a811538a9060aa34522 |
| Both Teams to Score | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xf85773b4b73fc50ed80dd7464281c34f89de7e6e205ce22e0b1ec2d63eca31fe |
| O/U 1.5 | 83¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x40161963962b8f77c1298da6c8338a8cbabb32c59102ac2c8c8f1f56ab49be41 |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) | 15¢ | +16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xeeea9ee52bac5c83aa862aa2ac7e5a8db93a2b973522a399f31d3ef074942ed8 |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) | 12¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x5232d6fa8a8e9f2452bca62dd917ad0e4b6611c7e7a1c84c0e0fd3de65ba7de7 |
| Dalian Yingbo FC (-2.5) | 11¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xabf5f0fe5460feaa70901d1fbaba1a0b8ae789d8380cf2d8d67ab738832ee2ae |
| O/U 4.5 | 21¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xf96b06a96a56cc877049ea991cdf589749ba161b2ba04ac8274f29b936ba6e4f |
| O/U 4.5 | 23¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x7eaf4e46731eb3c7efcc3e74ffe1444df46671214afdf62cc8fcbf8616c1d03e |
| Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5) | 34¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/beijing-guoan-fc-vs-dalian-yingbo-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x7319259da8cf5055776db5df89202814cde7710d46e8b35a2f61a0af3fa25c99 |
| Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5) | 24¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x84d2f4d92d3322ba03a66fed0f94a5fddcb2c8caf188d50579d9954b241f7aaf |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 39 |
| 2026-05-02 | 28 |
| 2026-05-03 | 33 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) +16pp 17→33¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) +15pp 11→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Dalian Yingbo FC (-1.5) +13pp 15→28¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5) +10pp 14→24¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Beijing Guoan FC (-2.5) +9pp 20→29¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-beijing-guoan-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-beijing-guoan-fc-more-markets
- Topic hub: https://simplefunctions.dev/predictions/china

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