# Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 83%, runner-up 62% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 49 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T12:05:46.571Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-06

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 83%
- Runner-up: O/U 2.5 at 62%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $8

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 83¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x0d664c156c1d0ffcd41ba343827a9c3fbd37e809e10beaa7072cb9717e5658cb |
| O/U 2.5 | 62¢ | — | $8 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xc6f8d09a9355a2998d4b5bd2319c8cef45cdb5936c1c335f76a41462f661d7bf |
| Both Teams to Score | 61¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xf85773b4b73fc50ed80dd7464281c34f89de7e6e205ce22e0b1ec2d63eca31fe |
| O/U 3.5 | 39¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xc0a65a196c5efad06f4fd9c9537c9e0c42121143372351476e84c69757d72079 |
| Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5) | 27¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x84d2f4d92d3322ba03a66fed0f94a5fddcb2c8caf188d50579d9954b241f7aaf |
| O/U 4.5 | 21¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xf96b06a96a56cc877049ea991cdf589749ba161b2ba04ac8274f29b936ba6e4f |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) | 17¢ | +16pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0xeeea9ee52bac5c83aa862aa2ac7e5a8db93a2b973522a399f31d3ef074942ed8 |
| Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5) | 14¢ | +10pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x869a6a92cc25ea92e6a28ab539c75138d485be5003e26a811538a9060aa34522 |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) | 12¢ | +15pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets-polymarket-0x5232d6fa8a8e9f2452bca62dd917ad0e4b6611c7e7a1c84c0e0fd3de65ba7de7 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | O/U 2.5 | Both Teams to Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | — | 62 | — |
| 2026-05-03 | 82 | — | 51 |

_2 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) +16pp 17→33¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) +15pp 11→26¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Yunnan Yukun FC (-2.5) +10pp 14→24¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Yunnan Yukun FC (-1.5) +3pp 25→28¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

The 61% probability reflects market expectations that Yunnan Yukun FC will either win or achieve a specific outcome against Zhejiang Zhiye FC in an upcoming match. This level suggests moderate confidence rather than a dominant favorite status. The probability is driven by recent team form, head-to-head history, and current league standings, with factors like injury status or weather conditions capable of shifting sentiment meaningfully. The resolution will occur on the match date when the final result is recorded, eliminating all uncertainty. Until then, market participants are weighing available information about squad strength, tactical matchups, and home-field advantage to price the outcome.

### Key factors

- Current league position and recent win-loss records of both teams indicate relative competitive strength
- Historical head-to-head results between Yunnan Yukun FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC establish baseline performance patterns
- Reported player injuries, suspensions, or personnel changes that affect available squad depth
- Home/away venue and any documented performance differential at each location
- Proximity to the match date and timing of any lineup announcements that resolve information asymmetry

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=yunnan-yukun-fc-vs-zhejiang-zhiye-fc-more-markets

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