# ZED FC vs. El Gouna SC - More Markets

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 33% across 19 contracts — refreshed 1 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/zed-fc-vs-el-gouna-sc-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-03T17:35:55.293Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-07

## Headline

- Probability: 33% (liquidity-weighted across 19 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (19 contracts)
- 24h volume: $810

## Bound contracts (19)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | −6pp | $306 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0xeacd4b74856bcd1deffd3d1fa8f946524095752c552907e53b59734bfd8c9c9e |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-2.5) | 33¢ | −1pp | $206 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-2-polymarket-0x5283a21a15ec521f4337c8e4f501631b4d19582611acba8a1b641466f279dc97 |
| FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5) | 53¢ | ±0 | $204 | polymarket | /markets/fk-bodglimt-vs-molde-fk-more-markets-fk-bodglimt-1-polymarket-0x879d113aeafd2b7a7162ce786d626c812b0279d9c74ee8e411c2981c6c0c150c |
| O/U 2.5 | 67¢ | +3pp | $43 | polymarket | /markets/shandong-taishan-fc-vs-shanghai-shenhua-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x92fa6c618d32593fd64e01106ddf8102f987fe612e1762d2e78e0d9a38f99a3a |
| O/U 3.5 | 24¢ | −1pp | $29 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x5d58f60bcef71fbea32cd17317002ed65fef80adb99080b2bf49aa94cf71ee3d |
| Incheon United FC (-2.5) | 3¢ | +1pp | $11 | polymarket | /markets/daejeon-hana-citizen-fc-vs-incheon-united-fc-more-polymarket-0x4ce71d662883de795b58a84a72031b1561a1c077297aabf78b6b2e3baf43a7ed |
| Tōkyō Verdy (-1.5) | 8¢ | −2pp | $10 | polymarket | /markets/kawasaki-frontale-vs-tky-verdy-more-markets-tky-ve-polymarket-0x2ae2ebd1fd8f36dee4140d1e5d50addade8319b01b9486d126f98e2e54d468c8 |
| O/U 2.5 | 55¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/liaoning-tieren-fc-vs-chengdu-rongcheng-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x2651198ee21da63ab9659c2340246270878006e0d2e196e97b422ff660a2772e |
| O/U 2.5 | 47¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/qingdao-xihaian-fc-vs-tianjin-jinmen-hu-fc-more-ma-polymarket-0x8c7c03c972df3c78569568b6d77b24c6d573ba28a550321416fef8f87b53b8bb |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/wuhan-san-zhen-fc-vs-qingdao-hainiu-fc-more-market-polymarket-0x4612ca5173a5a4fcf85507aeb04a8592bc10dda7e82aa160ccf2a48ee08c3182 |
| O/U 1.5 | 61¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xc61feed472ce62ecbd17a09e542ad2cc617cbcf9c5961e5133c512447990dbe0 |
| O/U 2.5 | 36¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x446a8c525fe3ccc6d446be642ad5d1612a1df49df5a9822e24bf7add79d2ec1f |
| ZED FC (-2.5) | 33¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-zed-fc-2-polymarket-0xc2e12e45eb33652b7356a4da63be0f63a2000e61b346907677c2d3b782bd531a |
| ZED FC (-1.5) | 32¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-zed-fc-1-polymarket-0x8b80ae2af203e0ef4f0ea26efcff647bf0569e88e3edf1dde5a699d91ccce3a6 |
| O/U 3.5 | 18¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x4cfceeb2e282654542fcf0438a423bd27939511bf6c04f55937570d41fa0151a |
| Haras El Hodood SC (-1.5) | 14¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-haras-el-polymarket-0xb14e19c0f3d328077f0a6e1d801f80447eaafd6b56cef3999da5b672f70a075f |
| Both Teams to Score | 50¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x0691beea653f5d26062c1e4e041bc17fd36382e981f60cea70fc73c437f00c44 |
| O/U 4.5 | 20¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xc3a5b71285575722eddbaa1c2c790d13df8f2da151ac2da7e3376f07143020a0 |
| Haras El Hodood SC (-2.5) | 11¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/haras-el-hodood-sc-vs-zed-fc-more-markets-haras-el-polymarket-0x4ba70b99d6c04d9d57466bfed70d00dd35cdb8774eaaf928374090ce3685576a |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 42 |
| 2026-05-02 | 37 |
| 2026-05-03 | 38 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-02 · Incheon United FC (-2.5) −17pp 35→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −6pp 12→6¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · Liaoning Tieren FC (-2.5) −5pp 17→12¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 +3pp 63→66¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-02 · O/U 2.5 −3pp 56→53¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market assigns a 37% probability to ZED FC scoring more goals than El Gouna SC in their upcoming Egyptian Premier League match. The probability reflects relatively balanced odds, suggesting the market views the matchup as competitive but slightly favoring under-performance or defensive play from ZED FC. Key drivers of this level include recent offensive form, team defensive capabilities, head-to-head history, and any injuries or roster changes. The primary uncertainty will resolve when the match concludes and the final goal count is recorded. Currently, the market shows moderate confidence rather than a strong lean in either direction, with relatively low trading volume suggesting limited recent activity or consensus around the outcome.

### Key factors

- ZED FC's recent goal-scoring rate in league play compared to their season average
- El Gouna SC's defensive record and goals-conceded statistics in home and away fixtures
- Historical head-to-head goal totals between these teams in previous meetings
- Injury status or roster absences for key attacking or defensive players on either side
- The specific goal threshold implied by available betting spreads across different sportsbooks

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/zed-fc-vs-el-gouna-sc-more-markets
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=zed-fc-vs-el-gouna-sc-more-markets

## License

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