# Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Albirex Niigata - More Markets

> O/U 1.5 leads at 70%, runner-up 49% across 9 winner-take-all outcomes — refreshed 11 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets
Updated: 2026-05-09T06:35:24.343Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-10

## Headline

- Leader: O/U 1.5 at 70%
- Runner-up: Both Teams to Score at 49%
- Outcomes: 9 (winner-take-all)
- Venue: Polymarket (9 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (9)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 1.5 | 70¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xd5d79e46bcb340fbe81a049478d7910496df10b5d41492427dbbcfe91217233a |
| Both Teams to Score | 49¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-b-polymarket-0x7ce26c63222adafed16517c90d4be6283629e4e691368bad63ba66d9292ebd11 |
| O/U 2.5 | 40¢ | −3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0xa38cb9234923a43347348767771c676e187d1919ed071f98b7738a05c83bbb93 |
| O/U 3.5 | 17¢ | −12pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x181f81fd4dcc19f325d9f6f979c74a3e5c394ddbd0fa7feb5c48cd55abbdafa3 |
| Albirex Niigata (-1.5) | 15¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-a-polymarket-0x8e0ec6816cde277323d2c8f81a373eb016876bffb63e3ab2ad6adfff9663ebc2 |
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5) | 14¢ | −7pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-z-polymarket-0xad28121770aacbdd1de244b3a9d9f07698e81a6fd4cbdded418d9231d30e4906 |
| O/U 4.5 | 12¢ | −1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-o-polymarket-0x664420fc11b500e81ad713facbf795ccdf828f7a1b5ad3c9a4db977e8e7322c5 |
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5) | 11¢ | −11pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-z-polymarket-0x6500049cb5c3f493d4f244849661005021e10096c39d596b15665c06592f6b9b |
| Albirex Niigata (-2.5) | 10¢ | −13pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets-a-polymarket-0xc61b71bc107c680623a46a0f53c60e0efdc68cb0101369801c5399ec642e8856 |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | O/U 1.5 | Both Teams to Score | O/U 2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | 65 | 50 | 52 |
| 2026-05-07 | 65 | 51 | 52 |
| 2026-05-08 | 65 | 53 | 43 |
| 2026-05-09 | 68 | 52 | 40 |

_4 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-09 · Albirex Niigata (-2.5) −13pp 22→9¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-09 · O/U 3.5 −12pp 30→18¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5) −11pp 33→22¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-08 · Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5) −11pp 25→14¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-07 · O/U 4.5 −10pp 28→18¢ · polymarket

## Analysis

This market reflects the likelihood that both Zweigen Kanazawa and Albirex Niigata will score goals in their upcoming match. At 47%, this outcome is currently favored over individual team victories in the spread contracts, where Zweigen holds a slight edge. The Both Teams to Score probability depends on the defensive and offensive strength of each squad relative to their typical output. Factors that would shift this include recent team form, injury status among key players, and weather conditions on match day. The probability will move closer to final resolution once the match is played, with real-time scoring determining the outcome. Currently, the low trading volume suggests limited market participation, which means early pricing may not yet fully reflect all available information about team lineups or conditions.

### Key factors

- Both Zweigen Kanazawa and Albirex Niigata have demonstrated capacity to score in recent matches, supporting a moderately elevated probability of mutual goals
- The 47% probability places Both Teams to Score ahead of individual spread outcomes (Zweigen at -2.5 is 27%, Albirex at -1.5 is 33%), suggesting defensive vulnerabilities or offensive consistency across both teams
- Match date and kickoff time directly affect playing conditions and team roster availability, which materially impact scoring likelihood
- Polymarket shows zero 24-hour trading volume across all five contracts, indicating minimal recent market activity and potentially stale pricing
- Head-to-head historical scoring patterns between these two J-League opponents would establish a baseline for typical goal distribution in their matchups

## Methodology

Headline is the **leader's price**, not an arithmetic mean — averaging disjoint winner-take-all outcomes is meaningless. Per-outcome prices come from the venue's last-traded mid; cross-venue values are simple means across contracts on each venue.

## How to use this data

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- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=zweigen-kanazawa-vs-albirex-niigata-more-markets

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