# Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Kataller Toyama

> Liquidity-weighted aggregate at 40% across 20 contracts — refreshed 13 min ago.

URL: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-kataller-toyama
Updated: 2026-05-03T15:20:53.055Z
Category: general
Status: active
Closes: 2026-05-03

## Headline

- Probability: 40% (liquidity-weighted across 20 contracts)
- Venue: Polymarket (20 contracts)
- 24h volume: $0

## Bound contracts (20)

| Outcome | Price | 24h | Volume | Venue | Slug |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa9a0068043b8f70080dad1cbc72d232ee9b5278c21d12cbe3171107996419c94 |
| O/U 2.5 | 52¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-25-polymarket-0x8eeea8484902d5373d6d10e0a1cc2710d064e06bc320fd7bb91d69843b0a99fe |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | −2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x881f458b76b6d561d43503c7cd0869a8463961c1787a43e52fbd1a62614fdeb3 |
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-1.5) | 32¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-zweigen-polymarket-0x25a76fcb5026c75532955f569156a1110e82877e907a27712027d8ee8ce6ea06 |
| Ehime FC (-1.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ehime-fc-polymarket-0xc0f88a8a866adf763cd26f3f3fd753cebcb3240d6d84b426cc14c4ec5e0527d9 |
| O/U 1.5 | 65¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-15-polymarket-0xd4e73b51b79dca603f7d943b92db42ada44d72adcefe85b414f65f3ac4557c1f |
| O/U 3.5 | 41¢ | — | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-35-polymarket-0x6b317dfbc8ea213e69eb04f70b5470bb2b39ea954d3ce3a10214bb69cde4c7ea |
| O/U 4.5 | 28¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ou-45-polymarket-0xbfea6dad5e7ed7b0b2f94653154a92cd2d1048f80c7ce84a2ad55a72533a16fe |
| O/U 2.5 | 53¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xd108598c1ea2939d8259c617ee6673d2e2fed06854c85b27ae25acd6fedf62db |
| Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x7056f531d96671721afb19c5a038b9d973f574c79db67cf4d81f5a6b9448f07f |
| Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5) | 33¢ | +5pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-zweigen-polymarket-0xcc1cd0da1ada9e898f3a6f7c3821a2305017c4f2b0b0d67db686e4136260f8ca |
| Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5) | 35¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0x082d3e01da8d253e5a272d4cd3690c1011213f63ab17c56889157506f1b09b88 |
| Zweigen Kanazawa | 51¢ | +2pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-zweigen-kanazawa-polymarket-0x7cd9702f51fe178be84da70c84495e696bda82966de84635a761f2c2f5c6f2a6 |
| Ehime FC (-2.5) | 34¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-ehime-fc-polymarket-0x0e985275c0c2e6966e4be81bce336a8916c86bcc244221638503894d462c4a6f |
| Kataller Toyama (-1.5) | 32¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa18b4aeaa1b53e7d32e9fb7c48098547da2808cc3e72e8a48824b4fd2cd09f97 |
| Kataller Toyama (-2.5) | 33¢ | +4pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-more-markets-polymarket-0xa0c83bf391689cbf2fc8d3ad23a5796325c0208db0cd0105f360029a80332708 |
| Both Teams to Score | 51¢ | +3pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-more-markets-both-tea-polymarket-0x09a5713e976a42b51c9992f3c64c2f6854558bba008fbd6efd206d9ee8ff4d01 |
| Kataller Toyama | 51¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-kataller-toya-polymarket-0x5261c5f1e660386369447ac4038da9e607a77c60bcfc1b51a0266a804e60e1bc |
| Draw (Kataller Toyama vs. Kamatamare Sanuki) | 35¢ | ±0 | $0 | polymarket | /markets/kataller-toyama-vs-kamatamare-sanuki-draw-kataller-polymarket-0x8f340f850f574528867aa136e288e6561722234fd71d8cbe2c6ba016cecc1ee8 |
| Draw (Zweigen Kanazawa vs. Ehime FC) | 35¢ | +1pp | $0 | polymarket | /markets/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-ehime-fc-draw-zweigen-kanazawa-polymarket-0xea0e870f981595ca14aa0eb3329223755be0b3c00466db7ea45cd66b6b8de8af |

## 30-day trajectory

| Day | Aggregate |
|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | 43 |
| 2026-05-02 | 40 |
| 2026-05-03 | 42 |

_3 days of price history captured. Each row is the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures._

## What moved the line

- 2026-05-03 · Kamatamare Sanuki (-1.5) +5pp 33→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Zweigen Kanazawa (-2.5) +5pp 32→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Ehime FC (-1.5) +4pp 33→37¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kamatamare Sanuki (-2.5) +4pp 34→38¢ · polymarket
- 2026-05-03 · Kataller Toyama (-2.5) +4pp 32→36¢ · polymarket

## Methodology

Probability is **liquidity-weighted** across all bound Kalshi/Polymarket contracts: Σ(price × volume) ÷ Σ(volume). 30-day trajectory uses the daily mean of intraday 5-min captures. 24h delta = today's mean − yesterday's mean. Movement events are ≥3pp daily moves in the last 7 days.

## How to use this data

- HTML: https://simplefunctions.dev/odds/zweigen-kanazawa-vs-kataller-toyama
- JSON: https://simplefunctions.dev/api/public/odds?slug=zweigen-kanazawa-vs-kataller-toyama

## License

CC-BY-4.0. Attribute "SimpleFunctions" with a link to https://simplefunctions.dev. See https://simplefunctions.dev/legal for terms.