Peru Presidential Election Live: Fujimori Leads First Round, Sánchez Palomino Surges to 2nd
Peru's presidential first round is being counted in real-time with massive price moves across all candidate markets. Keiko Fujimori holds at 62¢ to win outright while Roberto Sánchez Palomino surged +26¢ to 83¢ for 2nd place. Rafael López Aliaga dropped sharply from frontrunner expectations.
Key takeaways
- 01
Peru's presidential first round is being counted in real-time with massive price moves across all candidate markets.
- 02
Keiko Fujimori holds at 62¢ to win outright while Roberto Sánchez Palomino surged +26¢ to 83¢ for 2nd place.
- 03
Rafael López Aliaga dropped sharply from frontrunner expectations.
Full analysis
Peru's April 2026 presidential election first round is producing some of the most dramatic live market moves of the day. With votes being counted in real time, traders are pricing the results as they emerge.
Key developments from the markets: - Keiko Fujimori to win overall (0xc4c3dbcc37a957a817): 62¢ (+4¢) with $671K volume — she's the frontrunner heading to a likely runoff - Roberto Sánchez Palomino for 2nd place (0x432e3bff20596f36c2): surged +26¢ to 83¢ with $405K volume — strong showing suggesting he advances to runoff against Fujimori - Rafael López Aliaga for 2nd place (0xe8f8bc52bb22ad4c03): crashed -16¢ to 17¢ with $344K volume — once thought to be Fujimori's main challenger, now appears to be finishing 3rd - Rafael López Aliaga for 3rd place (0x9711f881f44c8965ad): +44¢ to 84¢ — the market now believes Aliaga finished 3rd - Jorge Nieto for 4th place (0x11c67c1caab44d83e7): +22¢ to 97¢ — confirms Nieto finished further down
The 'Other' runoff combinations market (0x756a30c26d295fadcd) is at 80¢ (+10¢), meaning the Fujimori-Sánchez Palomino matchup is being priced as highly likely.
This is a live election with real information flowing into prices. Fujimori at 62¢ to win the general election means the market currently favors her in the runoff. For traders: the Sánchez Palomino 2nd-place market at 83¢ with $405K volume is the most liquid active bet, but given vote counting is nearly complete it may be close to settling.
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