Iran Invasion at Coin-Flip: The Biggest Geopolitical Binary

The U.S. invading Iran before 2027 sits at 53%—essentially a coin flip with $225K+ in volume. Combined with Iran regime fall at 24% and Iran nuclear deal at 39%, these three markets paint a picture of extreme Middle East uncertainty. Gold hitting new highs (+1.82%) and oil dropping (-2.7%) add to the macro tension.