Prediction-market infrastructure.
Venue and alternative data, computed indicators, execution and institutional research, liquidity provision — across Kalshi and Polymarket. For institutional clients and agent-native consumption.
npm install -g @spfunctions/cliPrediction markets currently indicate a low, 19% probability of a US recession occurring by the end of 2026. The economy remains resilient with an unemployment rate of 4.3% as of April 2026, though specific forecasts for a 'soft landing'—defined as unemployment below 5.0% and inflation below 3.5%—are viewed with skepticism by traders at only 18% likelihood.
Where the liquidity and odds sit.
Markets, hot entities, contested odds, edges, calibration — six live surfaces, one scan.
One API call that compresses the world's markets into 800 tokens.
Thesis-Based Realtime Market Monitoring.
--conviction 5 --horizon 2026-12-31
Autonomous Portfolio Management with Mechanical Risk Gates.
Prediction Market Index.
Data Pipeline for makers and takers.
Open screener →Real-time data feed across Kalshi and Polymarket. Every orderbook change, every price move, every resolution.
Screen endpoint filters thousands of active contracts by five quantitative indicators — implied yield, cliff risk, expected edge, liquidity score, and time decay.
Regime endpoint classifies each market as maker-favorable or taker-favorable based on spread, depth, and flow patterns.
Platform Calibration.
How well-calibrated are prediction markets? Brier score by category across 488,000 resolved contracts.
Congress.gov for agents.
CLI + REST/API + MCP adapter for 425K bills, 538 members, and the prediction markets pricing each one.
Event Probability API
→Live odds for every macro, political, and crypto event — single endpoint, two venues.
Realtime Prediction Market Data
→Streaming prices, orderbooks, and resolutions across live Kalshi and Polymarket markets.
Prediction Market Hedging
→Lay off tail-risk events at the cheapest venue, sized to your portfolio's actual exposure.
SimpleFunctions Daily.
GET /api/public/contextAPI docs →Hub coverage.
82 URLsIndexable market hubs grouped by category, venue, and series. Each row has a page and a JSON twin.
C1 · category
Live regime + 5-indicator panorama per vertical.
C1 · venue
Side-by-side Kalshi vs Polymarket — categories, volume, calibration.
C2 · series
Term curve / threshold ladder, every contract enriched with SF signal stack.
GET /api/public/markets/{type}/{slug}15-minute refresh. Available via REST and CLI — GET /api/public/context / sf context.
Custom data, execution, liquidity.
Tuned indicators. Private latency tiers. Dedicated cross-venue routing. Direct integration into the desk stack — or your agent runtime.
For quant research desks, market makers, execution teams, and production agent deployments at scale.
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