Ferrari · Canadian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st
Ferrari is priced at 13¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 1¢ bid, 25¢ ask, 24¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 11 inside Canadian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?.
Price history
13¢ current
−2¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for May 24, 2026. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Outcome
Ferrari
Rank
#3 of 11
Leader
Mercedes 69¢
Range
0¢-69¢
Family volume
$4K
Identifier
0x06b232b5...c199
May 24, 2026, 1:38 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
1¢
Ask
25¢
Spread
24¢
24h volume
$449
Family rank
#3 of 11
11 outcomes · Canadian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$4K
Orderbook snapshot
1 / 25¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the constructor team that collects the most points at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix, currently scheduled for May 24, 2026. In the case of a tie between two teams for most points, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed name comes first alphabetically. As soon as the results for this event are known, this market will resolve. If the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after May 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be official information from Formula 1 (F1).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x06b232b5…c199
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at 3¢, +10¢ versus this page.
Event family
Canadian Grand Prix: Which Constructor Scores 1st.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$4K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Mercedes 69¢
Current share
17%
Mercedes
polymarket · 0x40ddb936f9575820b4fda760ad7b8bf5ed3196fd48cfd1b3d5516ab7804927a0
Mclaren Mastercard
polymarket · 0x1a2174b713e7c6504e8a4404dd16321d901486b4064f771d27f29dccf1046f0f
Ferrari
polymarket · 0x06b232b5aafb20a1de6b7530021a04d234732875e898549f0a98e65292c6c199
Audi Revolut
polymarket · 0x1001bac48f0a1d79573d92a2e2f8a40593419e93c9b4acedc731daa4402f045e
Williams
polymarket · 0x8981cf2ff0ae2881105776a9c43e05832d16a7757f0efb8ae82ee7dbe9b3b12d
Tgr Haas
polymarket · 0xbd67059f35942f3615d1bca8e9cc996556f70612e1560a32c497f88ca86a17f3
Red Bull
polymarket · 0x35acb98c2a37448317e73580a87329b9442db73f2a3139916be4851864d99e22
Racing Bulls
polymarket · 0xb79430f8784be190df59b9436556a3216812862022b9a3ea640c63eb1cb11e79
Aston Martin
polymarket · 0xd6ed14e5421cce413a14540d73433a92fbb9d7db538a7a72a480c69c9f2f86e1
Cadillac
polymarket · 0x956c856b34c9cabed5aa0a1ffab5cf29c02f69aac820c0be9bea314fd5d57edc
Alpine
polymarket · 0xc494d355705e220fd366426196f2a50b909e8fa6f1d052c8e4463e1d30a1c470
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.