SimpleFunctions

Boston Red Sox · MLB: Team to Have Longest Win Streak

Boston Red Sox is priced at 27¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 7¢ bid, 81¢ ask, 74¢ spread. This outcome ranks #14 of 16 inside MLB: Team to Have Longest Win Streak.

Price history

27¢ current

22¢
25¢50¢
May 24, 2026Jun 8, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve according to the team that records the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the longest winning streak, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more total wins during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team that has the better record against teams over .500. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the longest winning streak cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Boston Red Sox

Rank

#14 of 16

Leader

Baltimore Orioles 48¢

Range

9¢-48¢

Family volume

$23K

Identifier

0x86853b04...7678

Jun 8, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Implied probability

27¢
Latest venue quote
Jun 8, 2026, 10:08 AM UTC · 8m ago

Bid

Ask

81¢

Spread

74¢

Reported volume

$7K

Family rank

#14 of 16

16 outcomes · MLB: Team to Have Longest Win Streak

Closes

Sep 28, 2026

Family volume

$23K

Orderbook snapshot

7 / 81¢

Polymarket
74¢ spread
BidSize
7¢7
6¢226
AskSize
81¢16
82¢40
84¢30
86¢9
88¢30
93¢14
94¢6
95¢415

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve according to the team that records the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. If two teams tie for the longest winning streak, this market will resolve in favor of the team that records more total wins during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team with the higher run differential during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team that has the better record against teams over .500. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the team with the longest winning streak cannot be determined within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Sep 28, 2026

Identifier

0x86853b04…7678

SF Signal
SF Index
1308.50
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on kalshi at .

View counterpart

Event family

MLB: Team to Have Longest Win Streak.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$23K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Baltimore Orioles 48¢

Current share

30%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Baltimore Orioles

polymarket · 0x531c79fb68851d874e9653df1905abf7d14f93f27c1f137f63713017b3541fbb

48¢
$17$0

Los Angeles Dodgers

polymarket · 0x1c84150ab1cc580d33c5dc9504acc6505e429837076a15384ff285a3056a972b

46¢
$1K$0

Pittsburgh Pirates

polymarket · 0x99a88f27d05b56a81088cf4955e36c8601918e5049fd530261d442616e9a376c

46¢
$33$02.1

Toronto Blue Jays

polymarket · 0x968942f0d084825f6552b4c9d8acb29f90ed62ae98c5e83418f3158758bea6c9

46¢
$17$0

Tampa Bay Rays

polymarket · 0xb22244c9ae95bb2245cb842e782a755f3dcd09fd212de8cda81911b425d40b87

46¢
$17$02.2

San Francisco Giants

polymarket · 0xa2d0b4f5ac720fd52e83416c06f1bb8b674eafbf604245385f702288200abeb1

45¢
$33$01.8

Minnesota Twins

polymarket · 0x36f1871df61b6c8e40d338d8f4b49951082a2694e4487abbca6c8fffcef7d231

45¢
$17$0

Oakland Athletics

polymarket · 0x05141fb612781b1bf36c4151d737aab3384f0219e66d7f70d50db38a242a31e3

44¢
$33$0

Philadelphia Phillies

polymarket · 0x35b5decfba0784f2c856c76cf5d9dc1258af67d428656e965b340ab208a6db4e

43¢
$33$01.8

Colorado Rockies

polymarket · 0x5078c228daf1beddc6c4d1f96272b05365cc8d0d3794a62187461a64232a3bb0

43¢
$17$02.0

Kansas City Royals

polymarket · 0x670c8794dc112d6bca5a06cefefd8c6aa56e4a9206ead679fd22592cb47eafe1

41¢
$33$02.0

New York Mets

polymarket · 0x7782a3c5e1bc2e1992c0b8527296468f23139c428f6db130246179183bd71a13

37¢
$6K$01.5

Los Angeles Angels

polymarket · 0x3a3bdc5d8b757774bc146ca860fea5db824f14b95b4aa4998117eb57fed89c20

32¢
$3K$0

Boston Red Sox

polymarket · 0x86853b04f9f6bf90e067d52229673e60cd0874c2b668a6e02206b9932d3e7678

27¢
$7K$0

Cincinnati Reds

polymarket · 0x8f39ce0de5fa5efee2ecad8570c2c02bc835570fd385179f600c0341cfc31fde

26¢
$1K$02.8

Houston Astros

polymarket · 0x6586ef6811bab2946b476a64a86bbf9c9adcdfa3d5a240434209c932ac3386a1

9¢
$4K$00.7

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

IY (Yes)

1308.5%

IY (No)

81.8%

Adj IY

1309%

CRI

4

RV

4826%

VR

16.60

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

1308.5%
81.8%
Adj IY
1309%
4
RV
4826%
VR
16.60
IAR
3.7/h
Overround
11.4%

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.