Aaron Ramsdale · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make England Squad
Aaron Ramsdale is priced at 4¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 40¢ ask, 40¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 12 inside 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make England Squad.
Price history
4¢ current
−21¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Outcome
Aaron Ramsdale
Rank
#4 of 12
Leader
Jarrod Bowen 26¢
Range
0¢-26¢
Family volume
$88K
Identifier
0xc9b3c612...88b3
May 28, 2026, 8:08 PM UTC · 2m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
40¢
Spread
40¢
24h volume
$71
Family rank
#4 of 12
12 outcomes · 2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make England Squad
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Family volume
$88K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 40¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed player is announced as a member of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup by June 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. Only full squad announcements will be considered. Prior cut lists or previous squad lists other than the officially announced squad lists will not be considered. If a player is officially announced as part of the squad but is replaced before the nation’s first game for any reason, the corresponding market will still resolve “Yes”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after June 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the listed player cannot be confirmed as a part of the listed nation’s official squad for the 2026 FIFA World Cup within that timeframe, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jun 2, 2026
Identifier
0xc9b3c612…88b3
Event family
2026 FIFA World Cup: Player to make England Squad.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$88K
Outcomes
12
Highest price
Jarrod Bowen 26¢
Current share
2%
Jarrod Bowen
polymarket · 0x865fb4ebb45aae43dcca6938c279682992191cfaeb08f93a81c50db31a10c6d8
Dominic Solanke
polymarket · 0x5209cc4108acb0356f7ec5342c4cfc04322dfba7b7084e71012703ecdec87de4
James Garner
polymarket · 0x1a80e1fa663a619e9bfdc980fb3ee7ba51e705d7116b48be7c7e226b83872052
Cole Palmer
polymarket · 0x43941f7ab0b2b2d5452a791d339bb3d0b58757ebe9339587054ceefe7fbcda9b
Harry Maguire
polymarket · 0x342b7d03cc15423a00eac22e37bc722d0ef8a22a8a55fad8980e9c184288b761
Aaron Ramsdale
polymarket · 0xc9b3c6125844ba643ccfc83850a6a719a422e1437ab429c6c62fae5ab56888b3
Lewis Hall
polymarket · 0xd4c87ad62650447a4cc91e270135eef17f776a81486df76283f2df36d452fa64
Jason Steele
polymarket · 0x198d23ff0b96dd7a251a9ecc5ccf98036fa6879e144f7dae0161650cb693776a
Phil Foden
polymarket · 0x9284c3d85ac57ec4b9fcbdb5007c456a7535a4d696718c86efc896fc9bb40b7f
Adam Wharton
polymarket · 0x2ecb1166d36fe8592e9517325cdd6321836229f1ffade1d6a914343cc28b551e
Fikayo Tomori
polymarket · 0x7b43722e5aa80c274385ee7782beefdb3a361b82d2cf3f11e6dcfce1d793f0b0
Dominic Calvert-Lewin
polymarket · 0x69842f76a3112f3deaa71b13cd6da9dfa76ebeb94998fb18203a8d0685198556
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
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