Choo Kyung-ho · KXDAEGUMAYOR-26JUN03
Choo Kyung-ho is priced at 80¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 78¢ bid, 85¢ ask, 7¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside KXDAEGUMAYOR-26JUN03.
Price history
80¢ current
+3¢Contract brief
If Choo Kyung-ho wins the 2026 Daegu mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Choo Kyung-ho
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Choo Kyung-ho 78¢
Range
15¢-78¢
Family volume
$129
Identifier
KXDAEGUMAYOR-26JUN03-CKYU
May 26, 2026, 12:08 AM UTC · 11m ago
Implied probability
Bid
78¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
7¢
Reported volume
$53
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · KXDAEGUMAYOR-26JUN03
Closes
Jun 3, 2027
Family volume
$129
Orderbook snapshot
78 / 85¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Choo Kyung-ho wins the 2026 Daegu mayoral election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 3, 2027
Identifier
KXDAEGUMAYOR-26JUN03-CKYU
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on polymarket at 81¢, -1¢ versus this page.
Event family
KXDAEGUMAYOR-26JUN03.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$129
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Choo Kyung-ho 78¢
Current share
0%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.