SimpleFunctions

Bhuvneshwar Kumar in IPL Purple Cap

Bhuvneshwar Kumar is priced at 48¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 10¢ bid, 48¢ ask, 38¢ spread. This outcome ranks #2 of 3 inside Who will win IPL Purple Cap.

Price history

48¢ current

+46¢
0¢25¢50¢
May 26, 2026May 29, 2026

Contract brief

If Bhuvneshwar Kumar wins IPL Purple Cap in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Bhuvneshwar Kumar

Rank

#2 of 3

Leader

Kagiso Rabada 52¢

Range

1¢-52¢

Family volume

$655

Identifier

KXIPLPURPLECAP-26-BKUM

May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Implied probability

48¢
Latest venue quote
May 29, 2026, 10:38 PM UTC · 3m ago

Bid

10¢

Ask

48¢

Spread

38¢

24h volume

$70

Family rank

#2 of 3

3 outcomes · Who will win IPL Purple Cap

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Family volume

$655

Orderbook snapshot

10 / 48¢

Kalshi
38¢ spread
BidSize
100¢100
10¢195
2¢243
AskSize
48¢83
97¢66
98¢1.5K
99¢46

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Bhuvneshwar Kumar wins IPL Purple Cap in the 2026 season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jun 22, 2026

Identifier

KXIPLPURPLECAP-26-BKUM

SF Signal
SF Index
7098.10
Regime
neutral

Cross-venue match

Similar contract on polymarket at 33¢, +15¢ versus this page.

View counterpart

Event family

Who will win IPL Purple Cap.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$655

Outcomes

3

Highest price

Kagiso Rabada 52¢

Current share

11%

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

Full indicator table

14196.2%
175.3%
Adj IY
7098%
9

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.