SimpleFunctions

Tampa Bay · KXMLBWSTREAK-26

Tampa Bay is priced at 18¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 2¢ bid, 30¢ ask, 28¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXMLBWSTREAK-26.

Price history

18¢ current

+16¢
0¢10¢20¢
May 3, 2026May 19, 2026

Contract brief

If Tampa Bay has the longest winning streak in the Pro Baseball 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Tampa Bay

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Cleveland 15¢

Range

1¢-15¢

Family volume

$4

Identifier

KXMLBWSTREAK-26-TB

May 31, 2026, 7:09 AM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

18¢
Latest venue quote
May 31, 2026, 7:09 AM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

30¢

Spread

28¢

Reported volume

$618

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXMLBWSTREAK-26

Closes

Oct 15, 2026

Family volume

$4

Orderbook snapshot

2 / 30¢

Kalshi
28¢ spread
BidSize
100¢978
2¢20
AskSize
30¢45
31¢295
34¢35
63¢15
82¢67

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tampa Bay has the longest winning streak in the Pro Baseball 2026 regular season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Oct 15, 2026

Identifier

KXMLBWSTREAK-26-TB

SF Signal
Regime
taker

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

taker

Score

0.636

Observability

direct

Event type

sports

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.