SimpleFunctions

Will Tarris Reed Jr. be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026

Will Tarris Reed Jr. be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026 is priced at 35¢ midpoint on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 69¢ ask, 69¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.

Price history

35¢ current

+24¢
0¢25¢
May 1, 2026May 20, 2026

Contract brief

If Tarris Reed Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Will Tarris Reed Jr. be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026

Rank

Standalone

Leader

Range

Family volume

$0

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-TREE

May 23, 2026, 10:52 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

35¢
Bid/ask midpoint
May 23, 2026, 10:52 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

69¢

Spread

69¢

Reported volume

$0

Family rank

Standalone

Standalone contract

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Family volume

$0

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 69¢

Kalshi
69¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
69¢5
97¢60
99¢50

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Tarris Reed Jr. is drafted in the 1st Round in the 2026 Pro Basketball Draft, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 2, 2026

Identifier

KXNBADRAFTTOP-26-R1-TREE

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

This market.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$0

Outcomes

1

Highest price

Will Tarris Reed Jr. be a 1st Round draft pick in 2026 35¢

Current share

Browse this series

NBA Draft First-Round Selection Markets
Per-series collection — every live contract in the KXNBADRAFTTOP series on Kalshi, sorted by 24h volume.

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.