Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom is priced at 2¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
2¢ current
Contract brief
If Rachel Reeves is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$16K
Identifier
KXNEXTUKPM-30-RR
May 28, 2026, 5:22 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$16K
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Family volume
$16K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Rachel Reeves is the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jan 1, 2030
Identifier
KXNEXTUKPM-30-RR
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$16K
Outcomes
1
Highest price
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom 2¢
Current share
100%
Will Rachel Reeves be the next Prime Minister of United Kingdom
kalshi · KXNEXTUKPM-30-RR
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.