Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner for La Velada del Año VI
Natalia MX is priced at 83¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 30¢ bid, 83¢ ask, 53¢ spread. This outcome ranks #1 of 2 inside La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner.
Price history
83¢ current
+80¢Contract brief
If Natalia MX wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Natalia MX
Rank
#1 of 2
Leader
Natalia MX 30¢
Range
15¢-30¢
Family volume
$0
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25CLERNMX-NMX
May 28, 2026, 10:08 PM UTC · 9m ago
Implied probability
Bid
30¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
53¢
Reported volume
$57
Family rank
#1 of 2
2 outcomes · La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Family volume
$0
Orderbook snapshot
30 / 83¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Natalia MX wins the La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX boxing match originally scheduled for Jul 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Aug 8, 2026
Identifier
KXBOXING-26JUL25CLERNMX-NMX
Event family
La Velada del Año VI: Clersss vs Natalia MX Winner.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$0
Outcomes
2
Highest price
Natalia MX 30¢
Current share
—
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
Full indicator table
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.