Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals
Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals is priced at 7¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 7¢ bid, 8¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #4 of 4 inside KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR.
Price history
7¢ current
+5¢Contract brief
If Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals in the Montreal at Carolina professional hockey game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome
Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals
Rank
#4 of 4
Leader
Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals 46¢
Range
7¢-46¢
Family volume
$21K
Identifier
KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR-MTL2
May 28, 2026, 8:38 PM UTC · 7m ago
Implied probability
Bid
7¢
Ask
8¢
Spread
1¢
24h volume
$12
Family rank
#4 of 4
4 outcomes · KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Family volume
$21K
Orderbook snapshot
7 / 8¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
If Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals in the Montreal at Carolina professional hockey game originally scheduled for May 29, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Venue
Kalshi
Closes
Jun 13, 2026
Identifier
KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR-MTL2
Event family
KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$21K
Outcomes
4
Highest price
Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals 46¢
Current share
0%
Carolina wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR-CAR1
Carolina wins by over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR-CAR2
Montreal wins by over 1.5 goals
kalshi · KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR-MTL1
Montreal wins by over 2.5 goals
kalshi · KXNHLSPREAD-26MAY29MTLCAR-MTL2
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.