Broadcom · 3rd largest company end of May
Broadcom is priced at 0¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This outcome ranks #3 of 8 inside 3rd largest company end of May?.
Price history
0¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Outcome
Broadcom
Rank
#3 of 8
Leader
Apple 98¢
Range
0¢-98¢
Family volume
$360K
Identifier
0x5df38678...4215
May 28, 2026, 8:45 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
Reported volume
$4K
Family rank
#3 of 8
8 outcomes · 3rd largest company end of May?
Closes
May 31, 2026
Family volume
$360K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
May 31, 2026
Identifier
0x5df38678…4215
Event family
3rd largest company end of May.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$360K
Outcomes
8
Highest price
Apple 98¢
Current share
1%
Apple
polymarket · 0x2416ec42d46d41184dcc5a4e72f3522f79591bd3324fefcc35148cde7d91aef5
Alphabet
polymarket · 0xd87f2f83f286d6fa2bee0ab9952f77cae03cea3656d419c7e75a9ae31949991e
NVIDIA
polymarket · 0xa9ea404ee746ae6b3c14ac41aa888ca2538888192dd9169a7911368ccc570db4
Saudi Aramco
polymarket · 0x50530532b29f309c39d49c0b327f4bfa248452fba0358d4bc20a7a90c8cea146
Microsoft
polymarket · 0x0df9e5570fe5beb1ae556a3045f6c27afb7123ae64bccdf53acda5247fa85a91
Amazon
polymarket · 0xb1e01a0c605d6a3a5159d1e1d591c658676fe683c4fbccddbe524ae9ad520a41
Tesla
polymarket · 0x66a6e7ec8c08fd5be28a556a8731bf597813668707662833625c0db5129fa57f
Broadcom
polymarket · 0x5df3867811688479de5f2794c432638b07c6b17bd65a36693f8e8ad3cd934215
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
Index, screen, query, and monitor.
Prediction Market Index
Market-wide volatility, geo risk, breadth, and activity around this contract.
Market Screener
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Event Probability API
Read 0% as a structured event probability object for agents and apps.
Realtime Data API
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World State API
Compact market-aware context packets for agent sessions and scheduled refresh.
Hedging Workflows
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.