SimpleFunctions

Cutter Guanthier to win NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy

Cutter Guanthier is priced at 1¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner.

Open on PolymarketView JSONEnter terminal

Price history

1¢ current

−2¢
0¢5¢
May 13, 2026May 28, 2026

Contract brief

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Outcome

Cutter Guanthier

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Mitch Marner 36¢

Range

0¢-36¢

Family volume

$7K

Identifier

0x3d74bd72...c7a8

May 28, 2026, 9:20 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 9:20 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

0¢

Ask

1¢

Spread

1¢

24h volume

$5

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Family volume

$7K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Polymarket
1¢ spread
BidSize
0¢301
AskSize
2¢100
10¢100
66¢10
66¢41
66¢5
66¢30
67¢11
100¢110

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy for the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NHL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2025-26 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Venue

Polymarket

Closes

Jul 1, 2026

Identifier

0x3d74bd72…c7a8

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Event family

NHL: 2026 Conn Smythe Trophy Winner.

The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.

Total volume

$7K

Outcomes

16

Highest price

Mitch Marner 36¢

Current share

4%

OutcomePriceVolume24hDepth

Mitch Marner

polymarket · 0x95cd0ff6c13866396851dad5646867609e16c4f256a4e88744c3bb615a391f88

36¢
$200$330.5

Rasmus Dahlin

polymarket · 0x7c26e5977466ecf957718a00aa15fd5ae85225854604f6ce6ffa95481564d652

32¢
$210$5—

Linus Ullmark

polymarket · 0xad238b285d38687f634a092a6a584d444da5eec46b2c10ec111b4fa850685a89

22¢
$482$5—

Nick Suzuki

polymarket · 0x813432b4e0597553bf8605ead78529d830844915b42e716635704d97c9ed10a0

10¢
$128$5—

Cale Makar

polymarket · 0xf0b5966b0742263ebe474b18ff63db3678a8ab393385673d5e32a6df11fa2c1c

2¢
$255$50.3

Nathan MacKinnon

polymarket · 0xf2b1e81b016a781e7569eaec51dd4fa1bbb7bc4373a8228000b4f7fcd6c1edb2

1¢
$2K$37—

Sidney Crosby

polymarket · 0xd19d4c07441e538145abfd1c6993cf665faad1f0d633b3ae92fc9f2e77c00d0c

1¢
$466$20—

Leon Draisaitl

polymarket · 0xc15a80fae09bff2f7f8d70ee3a41a8d152eadac1c796584adf2ba2609a85c8a1

1¢
$404$175—

Quinn Hughes

polymarket · 0xd1ea1c8bec41f9adc0dcb84b4d2c76221e717e3fd886eea64e3d496ebd613ca2

1¢
$384$5—

Cutter Guanthier

polymarket · 0x3d74bd729a5313c65fb8ab9c301eeccb9f5f1e5d68c482291d91cd43746fc7a8

1¢
$325$5—

Alex Tuch

polymarket · 0x111ee262502014fd10dc692b578c1fcd7b2f896d417fd8f927711b1a473ec050

1¢
$115$5—

Dan Vladar

polymarket · 0xffc10e65618e90a2fffe6f6d057284b71b2624f622b8ef5b4eb7d1041145d288

1¢
$115$5—

Andrei Vasilevskiy

polymarket · 0x6832d351585e56c56af5647c1777b58cb9577164b27c581be044e1ee1dde1ac8

0¢
$1K$5—

Nikita Kucherov

polymarket · 0x1249989f517f9f932d89415c1f6c1da134d027ca0f630dce5ad64edde5607f7f

0¢
$461$32—

David Pastrnak

polymarket · 0x73ea9b13e98c629ca02033286c90a56d2ff9a2a827555281d9ec2af74f5fd206

0¢
$380$5—

Connor McDavid

polymarket · 0x5635eac10eabfc9e9d8170595f0e40c76815db105ef105bd7b8fbd6caa40dbb7

0¢
$216$26—

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.