Jan Błachowicz · Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026
Jan Błachowicz is priced at 1¢ midpoint on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #10 of 11 inside Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?.
Price history
1¢ current
Contract brief
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Outcome
Jan Błachowicz
Rank
#10 of 11
Leader
Carlos Ulberg 73¢
Range
0¢-73¢
Family volume
$559K
Identifier
0x5febf195...b538
May 28, 2026, 10:58 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
1¢
Spread
1¢
Reported volume
$416
Family rank
#10 of 11
11 outcomes · Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Family volume
$559K
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 1¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Light Heavyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Dec 31, 2026
Identifier
0x5febf195…b538
Cross-venue match
Similar contract on kalshi at —.
Event family
Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$559K
Outcomes
11
Highest price
Carlos Ulberg 73¢
Current share
0%
Carlos Ulberg
polymarket · 0xaa034dc646a0fd4b6ae5c1d467485255acf4739754a7e7a90b6dc304df2176ca
Magomed Ankalaev
polymarket · 0x4e163905cb466ebc0774daaff40d91ce7513e0172ce02f3bb4a6725c2ffc3206
Bogdan Guskov
polymarket · 0xf24f3cddc9b6704ede387e44162219eb3491f9b645c596fd8e0bd454a98fe61c
Dominick Reyes
polymarket · 0x9912e28bd303b6c8516da8ef1757353ef0295482d4c30d5831bc6e565507ba37
Alex Pereira
polymarket · 0x9f314704922e731188b1c4841bb597a28b8965fb029ebe733132aec0d8b1ecec
Khalil Rountree Jr.
polymarket · 0x6bb8773885be53846bfc4c823180338fe7e073cef888bd47fba4e5a7604d6bd3
Jamahal Hill
polymarket · 0x515be3fc2472c5ca713b78fe5b5ba9118c892e07f041cc809581257dcfef7891
Volkan Oezdemir
polymarket · 0x9502aad6d9d7c4e9638976cd04ef07bfd92aad5a261f909b4391d0458d279cba
Jiří Procházka
polymarket · 0xb5fb2b79ca615bd9c27e150a00f7ca8038a8864cf778b39ac407f5c3a10e4b37
Azamat Murzakanov
polymarket · 0x933a64c5f3678f5b75ceaa2c8b0ffff1aca5ce474779ee6fe8f22491864d1216
Jan Błachowicz
polymarket · 0x5febf195f5a23256bc72c42b784bb1016e6c196c6d30da580e73b4c1d90bb538
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.