SimpleFunctions

Robert MacIntyre · KXPGATOUR-USO26

Robert MacIntyre is priced at 1¢ on Kalshi. Current book: 0¢ bid, 1¢ ask, 1¢ spread. This outcome ranks #6 of 16 inside KXPGATOUR-USO26.

Price history

1¢ current

1¢
0¢5¢
May 21, 2026May 22, 2026

Contract brief

If Robert MacIntyre wins the U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Outcome

Robert MacIntyre

Rank

#6 of 16

Leader

Scottie Scheffler 14¢

Range

1¢-14¢

Family volume

$135K

Identifier

KXPGATOUR-USO26-RMAC

May 28, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC · 0m ago

Implied probability

1¢
Latest venue quote
May 28, 2026, 7:20 PM UTC · 0m ago

Bid

Ask

Spread

Reported volume

$32K

Family rank

#6 of 16

16 outcomes · KXPGATOUR-USO26

Closes

Jul 5, 2026

Family volume

$135K

Orderbook snapshot

0 / 1¢

Kalshi
1¢ spread
BidSize
AskSize
2¢61K
3¢52K
4¢50K
8¢4
100¢93K

Contract terms

What resolves this market.

YES condition

If Robert MacIntyre wins the U.S. Open, then the market resolves to Yes.

Venue

Kalshi

Closes

Jul 5, 2026

Identifier

KXPGATOUR-USO26-RMAC

SF Signal
Regime
neutral

Indicators

Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.

Regime

neutral

Score

0.5

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SimpleFunctions context

Index, screen, query, and monitor.

Open index

How we compute these odds

SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.

For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.

Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.