XMAQUINA FDV above $300M one day after launch
XMAQUINA FDV above $300M one day after launch is priced at 2¢ on Polymarket. Current book: 0¢ bid, 0¢ ask, 0¢ spread. This page tracks a standalone prediction-market contract.
Price history
2¢ current
−13¢Contract brief
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If XMAQUINA (https://x.com/xmaquina) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Outcome
XMAQUINA FDV above $300M one day after launch
Rank
Standalone
Leader
—
Range
—
Family volume
$739
Identifier
0x8d375f75...f9a3
May 28, 2026, 10:22 PM UTC · 0m ago
Implied probability
Bid
0¢
Ask
0¢
Spread
0¢
24h volume
$468
Family rank
Standalone
Standalone contract
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Family volume
$739
Orderbook snapshot
0 / 0¢
Contract terms
What resolves this market.
YES condition
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of XMAQUINA's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." Only an official token launched by XMAQUINA will qualify. Stablecoins, memecoins, LSTs and synthetic tokens will not count. The token must be actively and publicly tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If XMAQUINA (https://x.com/xmaquina) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Venue
Polymarket
Closes
Jan 1, 2028
Identifier
0x8d375f75…f9a3
Event family
This market.
The same race as a probability stack: rank, volume, and where this contract sits against the other outcomes.
Total volume
$739
Outcomes
1
Highest price
XMAQUINA FDV above $300M one day after launch 2¢
Current share
100%
Indicators
Yield, cliff risk, volatility, and regime.
Regime
neutral
Score
0.5
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SimpleFunctions context
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Event Probability API
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How we compute these odds
SimpleFunctions aggregates live prediction-market contracts from Kalshi and Polymarket. Each slug groups contracts that resolve on the same underlying event, identified by venue event_id.
For binary slugs, the headline probability is the liquidity-weighted mid-price across all bound contracts. For multi-outcome slugs (e.g. elections with 3+ candidates), the headline is the leader’s price; we never arithmetically average disjoint outcomes — that would produce a number with no real-world meaning.
Snapshots refresh every 5 minutes during market hours; daily aggregates are computed at 04:00 UTC. The 30-day sparkline is drawn from per-ticker daily means stored in market_indicator_daily; 24h delta and movement events are derived from the same source.